Nationals 3, Tigers 1: CJ Abrams' Two Homers Sink Detroit

The Nationals beat the Tigers 3-1 at Comerica Park on Tuesday night, and the story was simple: CJ Abrams hit two home runs and Washington's pitching did the rest. Abrams finished 2-for-4 with 8 total bases, 2 runs, and all 3 RBI, supplying every run the Nationals needed.

Detroit's Drew Anderson actually pitched well — 6 innings, 3 earned runs, 5 hits, 5 strikeouts, no walks, with two solo home runs doing the damage. Washington starter Riley Cornelio lasted just 2.2 innings but kept Detroit off the board, allowing 1 hit with 4 strikeouts and 3 walks.

Our premium pick: WIN. We took Washington +1.5 on the run line, and the Nationals won outright by two, so the ticket cashed comfortably. Our model's moneyline call on Detroit was a loss, and the over missed with four total runs against a number that sat at 8.5.

Prop results:

• Gleyber Torres over 0.5 walks — WIN. Torres drew one walk in four plate appearances.
• James Wood over 0.5 walks — LOSS. Wood walked zero times in four trips.
• Drew Anderson over 15.5 outs — WIN. Six full innings cleared the number comfortably.

Takeaway: The Torres and Anderson props landed exactly where the profiles pointed — a patient hitter against a wild pitcher, and a starter with a long leash. The Wood walk prop was the same idea as Torres, but stacking two walk bets on one shaky pitcher doubled the variance for no extra edge; one is enough. And the moneyline loss is a reminder that a near coin-flip projection shouldn't be sold as a side — when the margin is that thin, the run line or a pass is the smarter ticket.