Astros Blow 4-0 Lead, Fall to Mariners 6-5

The Houston Astros jumped out to a 4-0 lead, then watched it disappear. Seattle came back to take this one 6-5 at T-Mobile Park, handing Houston a loss that stings in a tightening AL West race.

Our premium pick was the Astros moneyline, and it lost. The 4-0 cushion wasn't enough to hold, and the game slipped away late. The run line, Houston +1.5, cashed — but that's cold comfort when the straight-up call goes down.

Our Under on the total also missed. The two teams combined for 11 runs, and that was enough to push the game past the number.

On the prop side, the results were mixed:

• Ethan Pecko over 2.5 walks (+141): Missed. Pecko walked 2 in 2.2 innings, short of the 3 needed.
• Yordan Alvarez over 1.5 total bases (+102): Cashed. Alvarez went 2-for-4 with 3 total bases, clearing the number comfortably.
• George Kirby over 4.5 hits allowed (-161): Cashed. Kirby allowed 6 hits over 5.0 innings, just over the line.

The takeaway: backing a road favorite on motivation alone is a fragile edge when the bullpen and late-game execution don't cooperate. Houston's 4-0 lead evaporated, and the moneyline paid for it. Our hit-allowed and total-base reads on individual matchups held up, which is where the process was soundest. When a team's biggest selling point is narrative rather than on-field form, the safer plays tend to live in the player props.