Orioles Eliminate Blue Jays 4-2 as Scherzer Falters

The Baltimore Orioles beat the Toronto Blue Jays 4-2 on Wednesday afternoon at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, and the result carried more weight than the scoreboard suggested: Toronto is eliminated from postseason contention.

Max Scherzer took the loss for Toronto, allowing four earned runs on four hits over five innings with seven strikeouts, three walks, and one home run. Chris Bassitt was sharper for Baltimore, giving up two earned runs on seven hits across five innings with two strikeouts and one walk. The difference was one swing — Pete Alonso's home run — and a Toronto offense that never found the big inning.

Our premium pick: Blue Jays moneyline — LOSS. We bet against the market move toward Baltimore, and the Orioles' bats made that look wrong. The Toronto run line (+1.5) also lost, and the over on 7.5 runs never got there with six total runs scored. A clean sweep against us on the game markets.

Prop plays:

• Pete Alonso over 1.5 total bases (+120) — HIT. Alonso went 1-for-3 with a home run, four total bases, two RBI, and a walk. The power read was right.
• Gunnar Henderson over 1.5 total bases (+136) — MISS. Henderson finished 0-for-3 with a walk and two strikeouts, never getting the ball out of the infield.
• Alejandro Kirk over 1.5 total bases (+135) — MISS. Kirk recorded just one at-bat, finishing 0-for-1.

Takeaway: The Alonso angle — targeting a power bat against a home-run-prone starter — delivered exactly as scripted, which reinforces that profile when the matchup lines up. But the Blue Jays' side of this game was a miss across the board, and a must-win narrative did not translate into must-win production. Late-season motivation is a story; the underlying pitching and contact numbers are the signal. We'll lean harder on the latter going forward.