The Brewers Won 103 Games and Swept the Dodgers. Now Comes the Part Milwaukee Hasn't Done Since 1982.
The Brewers Won 103 Games and Swept the Dodgers. Now Comes the Part Milwaukee Hasn't Done Since 1982.
The Milwaukee Brewers are in the World Series. That sentence has not been true since 1982, and it arrives attached to a team that has spent four months behaving like the best club in baseball rather than a nice story.
The Brewers finished the regular season 103-59, the best record in the majors. Their SRS-style power rating sits at No. 1 in the sport at 1.399 runs better than an average team on a neutral field, up 0.259 from the prior week, with a strength of schedule essentially at league average. That is the profile of a team that earned this, not one that backed in.
They got here by dismantling the defending champions. Milwaukee swept the Dodgers in the NLCS β 2-1, 7-4, 6-2, 6-4 β and has now won 10 of its last 11 games dating to Sept. 25, outscoring opponents 51-31 in that stretch. Over the last ten games the staff ERA is 2.75 with a 0.99 WHIP, and the club is 9-1 in that window. The rotation's October ERA has been better than its season mark of 3.37, which ranked second in baseball behind only the Yankees (3.18).
That brings us to the most consequential decision of the week.
The 16-5 right-hander posted a 1.80 ERA over 174.2 innings with 252 strikeouts, a 0.80 WHIP and 14 home runs allowed. He has not pitched since Oct. 11, when he went 4.1 innings and allowed one earned run with five strikeouts β nine days of rest heading into the biggest start of his life. His last five outings: a 1.29 ERA and 11.57 strikeouts per nine. His road ERA (2.15) is actually worse than his home mark (1.66), and he'll be at home.
The supporting cast is intact. The NLCS roster carried no changes from the Division Series, and the power-rating model docks Milwaukee zero injury points, listing no key players unavailable. That matters because the 60-day IL is crowded with arms β Brandon Woodruff, Quinn Priester, Angel Zerpa, Rob Zastryzny, Brian Fitzpatrick β plus Carlos Rodriguez on the 15-day. Milwaukee has absorbed those losses without visible damage, which is the whole argument for this roster's depth.
Offensively the shape is unusual. Jackson Chourio (.291, 25 homers, 23 steals, .838 OPS) is the star, and Brice Turang's .366 on-base percentage with 21 homers and 100 RBI out of the two-hole has been the engine. William Contreras hit .270 with 18 homers and 94 RBI but arrives lukewarm β a .250 average and .650 OPS over his last six games. Christian Yelich's .235/.315/.378 line is the one soft spot in the lineup, which is presumably why his name surfaced in NLCS lineup questions.
The matchup itself is a coin-flip among small markets: Milwaukee won two of three from the Rays in a late-March series at American Family Field, outscoring Tampa Bay 16-7. The Rays counter with the fifth-ranked staff ERA (3.52) and a lower walk rate, while the Brewers own the edge in on-base (.340 to .324) and strikeout rate. Both franchises are chasing a first championship β the first such Series since 1980.
For Milwaukee, the path is simple and unglamorous: Misiorowski sets the tone, the bullpen's 3.25 ERA closes what he starts, and a lineup that grinds out walks keeps pressure on a Rays staff that doesn't beat itself. The Brewers have spent 44 years waiting for this week. They are, by nearly every measure available, the best team in the sport walking into it.
