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Earl's MLB power ranking ยท Week 27, 2026
#21
rank
-0.3
rating (points, neutral field)
83-79
record (2024)
+0.2
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
St. Louis sits at 21st with a -0.284 runs-neutral rating, meaning they're roughly a quarter-run worse than an average team on a neutral field, and that modest number explains a 77-85 record. The arrow is pointing up slightly, with a +0.19 rating change versus last week against a strength of schedule of 0.129, and a prior-season rating of -1.046 shows this is real improvement rather than noise. At +0.2 versus the market, the books are pricing them slightly better than my number, so I'd sell St. Louis as a small favorite but treat them as live getting a run-plus.
Rating over the 2024 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | ฮ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | #12 | 0-0 | +0.0 | โ | +0.0 | โ |
| 2024 | 2 | #15 | 3-3 | +0.1 | โ | +1.5 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 3 | #23 | 6-6 | -1.0 | โ | -0.6 | -1.1 |
| 2024 | 4 | #20 | 9-9 | -0.5 | โ | -0.4 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 5 | #25 | 10-14 | -1.0 | โ | -1.0 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 6 | #24 | 14-16 | -0.8 | โ | -0.8 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 7 | #26 | 15-21 | -1.1 | โ | -1.1 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 8 | #27 | 18-24 | -1.1 | โ | -1.2 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 9 | #26 | 21-26 | -0.9 | โ | -0.9 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 10 | #23 | 26-27 | -0.6 | โ | -0.5 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 11 | #23 | 28-31 | -0.6 | โ | -0.5 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 12 | #22 | 31-34 | -0.5 | โ | -0.3 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 13 | #21 | 36-36 | -0.4 | โ | -0.3 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 14 | #21 | 40-37 | -0.2 | โ | -0.1 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 15 | #20 | 44-40 | -0.3 | โ | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 16 | #21 | 48-42 | -0.2 | โ | -0.1 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 17 | #22 | 50-46 | -0.2 | โ | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 18 | #20 | 53-48 | -0.0 | โ | -0.0 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 19 | #24 | 55-52 | -0.3 | โ | -0.3 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 20 | #21 | 58-56 | -0.3 | โ | -0.3 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 21 | #23 | 60-60 | -0.4 | โ | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 22 | #24 | 61-64 | -0.5 | โ | -0.6 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | #21 | 65-67 | -0.3 | โ | -0.3 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | #18 | 70-69 | -0.1 | โ | -0.0 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | #21 | 72-72 | -0.2 | โ | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | #20 | 76-75 | -0.1 | โ | -0.1 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | #18 | 80-77 | -0.1 | โ | -0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 28 | #17 | 83-79 | +0.1 | โ | +0.1 | +0.1 |