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Earl's MLB power ranking ยท Week 27, 2026

#21
rank
-0.3
rating (points, neutral field)
78-84
record (2025)
+0.2
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

St. Louis sits at 21st with a -0.284 runs-neutral rating, meaning they're roughly a quarter-run worse than an average team on a neutral field, and that modest number explains a 77-85 record. The arrow is pointing up slightly, with a +0.19 rating change versus last week against a strength of schedule of 0.129, and a prior-season rating of -1.046 shows this is real improvement rather than noise. At +0.2 versus the market, the books are pricing them slightly better than my number, so I'd sell St. Louis as a small favorite but treat them as live getting a run-plus.

Rating over the 2025 season

1.3 pts-1.0 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs Mktฮ”
20251#170-0-0.1โ€”-0.1โ€”
20252#173-1+0.1โ€”-0.5+0.2
20253#214-6-1.0โ€”-1.1-1.1
20254#168-8-0.2โ€”+0.1+0.8
20255#189-14-0.3โ€”+0.2-0.1
20256#1712-17+0.1โ€”+0.4+0.4
20257#1417-19+0.2โ€”+0.5+0.1
20258#923-19+0.8โ€”+1.1+0.6
20259#427-21+1.3โ€”+1.6+0.5
202510#630-24+1.0โ€”+1.2-0.3
202511#833-26+0.6โ€”+0.6-0.5
202512#936-30+0.5โ€”+0.5-0.1
202513#1437-35+0.3โ€”+0.3-0.3
202514#743-36+0.7โ€”+0.7+0.4
202515#847-39+0.6โ€”+0.7-0.1
202516#1548-43+0.2โ€”+0.3-0.4
202517#1451-46+0.1โ€”+0.1-0.1
202518#2052-49-0.2โ€”-0.2-0.3
202519#2655-53-0.4โ€”-0.4-0.2
202520#2757-57-0.6โ€”-0.5-0.1
202521#2861-59-0.6โ€”-0.5-0.1
202522#2862-64-0.7โ€”-0.5-0.1
202523#2765-67-0.7โ€”-0.5+0.0
202524#2868-71-0.8โ€”-0.6-0.1
202525#2572-73-0.8โ€”-0.5+0.1
202526#2673-78-0.9โ€”-0.6-0.1
202527#2677-80-0.5โ€”-0.2+0.4
202528#2678-84-0.8โ€”-0.4-0.2