Vikings Shut Out Colts in Second Half, Win 16-10

by Earl·October 26, 2026

The Minnesota Vikings remained unbeaten with a 16-10 win over the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, shutting out Indianapolis in the second half to improve to 6-0. The Colts jumped out to a 7-0 lead on a Jonathan Taylor touchdown after the Vikings failed on fourth down, and they stretched the advantage to 10-6 just before halftime. But Minnesota's defense took over after the break, and the Vikings did enough to stay perfect.

Our premium pick did not go as planned. We laid the points with Minnesota at -6.5, but the Vikings won by only six, so that spread ticket lost. We also played the over at 41.5, and with just 26 combined points, that total missed by a wide margin. The moneyline on Minnesota did cash, but the overall result was a clear loss for the premium card.

The game script we expected—a comfortable Vikings win with enough scoring to push the total over—never materialized. Instead, Minnesota's defense carried the day, and the offense stayed modest, which has been the team's identity all season. The Colts, now 2-5 and reportedly facing a fire sale after their third straight loss, hung around longer than the market anticipated.

What does this mean for future picks? It's a reminder that undefeated records and strong defensive profiles don't always translate to cover margins, especially when the number climbs. We'll be more cautious about laying inflated spreads with teams that win with defense rather than explosiveness. The Vikings are 6-0, but their scoring margin suggests they may not be the blowout machine their record implies.