Rams Dominate Raiders 35-21: Our LV Pick Fails, Over Hits

The Los Angeles Rams went into Las Vegas and dominated the Raiders 35-21, snapping a three-game skid and handing Las Vegas its fourth straight loss. The game was never really in doubt after L.A. built a 14-3 lead on Davis Allen's second touchdown catch, and the Rams' offense controlled the pace from there.

Our premium pick backed the Raiders, and it did not work out. We projected a 27-23 Las Vegas win with high confidence, but the Rams' second-ranked offense (413.8 yards per game) and top-ranked passing attack (301.2 yards per game) proved too much. The spread pick on Las Vegas lost outright, and the moneyline call went down with it. The one bright spot was our over 48.5 total, which hit comfortably as the teams combined for 56 points.

The takeaway is clear: don't overvalue line movement when it conflicts with a team's underlying performance. The Rams had been outgaining opponents by over 100 yards per game despite a 2-4 record, and that profile was a warning sign we underweighted. For future picks, we'll be more cautious about fading teams with strong yardage differentials, even when the market seems to be signaling otherwise. The Raiders' playoff hopes are fading fast, and their three-game losing streak has now stretched to four.