0.8

0.8

Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026

#30
rank
-10.3
rating (points, neutral field)
4-13
record (2023)
-1.3
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Arizona sits at 30th with a -10.27 neutral-field rating, down another 3.87 points this week, and that collapse is earned: they're allowing 32.4 points per game over their last five while scoring just 21.6, a -10.8 point differential. The market is still pricing them 1.32 points better than my number, so this is a clear sell — lay the points against Arizona rather than backing them as a home dog. Losing Andrew Wingard at safety only deepens a defense that's already getting shredded.

Unavailable this week(-0.8 pts of rating)

  • Andrew Wingard · S · Out-0.6
  • Walter Nolen · DT · Questionable-0.2

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2023 season

-3.3 pts-16.1 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs MktΔ
20231#290-1-7.5-1.0-0.3—
20232#290-2-7.4-0.5+4.3+0.1
20233#201-2-3.3-1.0+14.9+4.0
20234#211-3-3.9-2.1+15.7-0.6
20235#251-4-7.1-1.1+9.3-3.2
20236#261-5-8.4-1.9+7.6-1.3
20237#311-6-16.1-9.0-0.1-7.7
20238#301-7-11.9-6.4+3.2+4.2
20239#311-8-12.8-4.5+4.1-0.9
202310#282-8-9.3-1.8+5.7+3.5
202311#292-9-9.8-3.2+3.2-0.6
202312#322-10-14.1-4.6-0.1-4.2
202313#273-10-9.6-3.8+4.3+4.5
202314#223-10-6.1—+8.2+3.5
202315#233-11-7.4-0.9+7.3-1.3
202316#263-12-9.6-3.0+5.1-2.3
202317#284-12-9.5-5.1+4.2+0.1
202318#254-13-7.4-2.5+5.1+2.1