0.8

0.8

Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026

#30
rank
-10.3
rating (points, neutral field)
8-9
record (2024)
-1.3
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Arizona sits at 30th with a -10.27 neutral-field rating, down another 3.87 points this week, and that collapse is earned: they're allowing 32.4 points per game over their last five while scoring just 21.6, a -10.8 point differential. The market is still pricing them 1.32 points better than my number, so this is a clear sell — lay the points against Arizona rather than backing them as a home dog. Losing Andrew Wingard at safety only deepens a defense that's already getting shredded.

Unavailable this week(-0.8 pts of rating)

  • Andrew Wingard · S · Out-0.6
  • Walter Nolen · DT · Questionable-0.2

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2024 season

4.8 pts-5.4 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs MktΔ
20241#250-1-4.3-0.0+3.9—
20242#71-1+3.0-0.1+12.2+7.3
20243#71-2+3.5-0.7+13.7+0.5
20244#231-3-5.4-1.7+1.9-8.9
20245#202-3-2.5-1.1+5.2+2.9
20246#202-4-3.2-1.1+4.8-0.7
20247#193-4-2.1-1.3+5.8+1.1
20248#204-4-3.0-1.6+4.7-0.8
20249#115-4+1.6-0.5+7.9+4.6
202410#86-4+4.1-0.3+8.9+2.4
202411#56-4+4.8—+9.2+0.7
202412#106-5+2.2-0.5+4.7-2.6
202413#76-6+3.0-0.2+5.5+0.8
202414#146-7+1.0-0.5+2.7-2.0
202415#117-7+0.6-0.7+2.7-0.4
202416#187-8-2.1-1.8+0.6-2.8
202417#177-9-1.7-0.7+2.1+0.4
202418#108-9+0.7-0.9+3.9+2.4