8.4
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
#23
rank
-6.8
rating (points, neutral field)
8-9
record (2025)
-10.9
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Baltimore sits at 23rd with a -6.83 neutral-field rating, and that number is cratering — down 7.46 points from last week, the sharpest drop on the board. The market is pricing the Ravens 10.9 points better than my number, which screams sell: books are clinging to the 4-1 record and last year's 3.50 rating while ignoring that Lamar Jackson is out and the defense has coughed up 23.8 points per game over the last five. With 8.4 points already docked for injuries to Jackson, Flowers, and Campbell, I'm laying the points against Baltimore until this rating stabilizes.
Unavailable this week(-8.4 pts of rating)
- Lamar Jackson · QB · Out-7.0
- Zay Flowers · WR · Questionable-0.6
- Calais Campbell · DT · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.5
- Marlon Humphrey · CB · Questionable-0.2
- Collins Hendrickson · LB · Out-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #13 | 0-1 | -0.5 | -1.0 | -0.5 | — |
| 2025 | 2 | #2 | 1-1 | +3.4 | -1.4 | -1.9 | +3.8 |
| 2025 | 3 | #13 | 1-2 | +1.3 | -2.0 | -4.5 | -2.1 |
| 2025 | 4 | #16 | 1-3 | -1.1 | -1.7 | -8.5 | -2.4 |
| 2025 | 5 | #32 | 1-4 | -15.4 | -9.7 | -21.4 | -14.3 |
| 2025 | 6 | #32 | 1-5 | -16.4 | -9.0 | -18.7 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 7 | #25 | 1-5 | -5.8 | — | -8.7 | +10.6 |
| 2025 | 8 | #26 | 2-5 | -9.6 | -7.0 | -11.7 | -3.8 |
| 2025 | 9 | #12 | 3-5 | +1.0 | — | -3.0 | +10.6 |
| 2025 | 10 | #7 | 4-5 | +2.8 | — | -1.5 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 11 | #13 | 5-5 | +0.1 | -2.4 | -5.0 | -2.7 |
| 2025 | 12 | #10 | 6-5 | +1.8 | -1.2 | -3.7 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 13 | #15 | 6-6 | -2.0 | -0.6 | -7.1 | -3.7 |
| 2025 | 14 | #18 | 6-7 | -2.6 | -0.8 | -8.5 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 15 | #15 | 7-7 | +0.2 | -0.5 | -5.2 | +2.7 |
| 2025 | 16 | #14 | 7-8 | -1.0 | -1.8 | -5.1 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 17 | #13 | 8-8 | -0.9 | -4.8 | -4.3 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 18 | #7 | 8-9 | +2.5 | -0.9 | -2.1 | +3.4 |