2.5
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
#8
rank
+3.5
rating (points, neutral field)
12-5
record (2025)
-2.9
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Buffalo sits at 8th with a 3.509 neutral-field rating, up 1.206 from last week, but that number already eats a 2.5-point injury dock with Ed Oliver out and DJ Moore questionable, so the market's -2.86 vs. their rating tells me the public is still pricing the brand name over the current roster. The offense is humming at 32.8 points per game over the last five, yet the defense is bleeding 28.2 and the EPA differential is a razor-thin 0.0815, which screams sell-high on any spread north of a field goal.
Unavailable this week(-2.5 pts of rating)
- Joshua Palmer · WR · Out-0.7
- DJ Moore · WR · Questionable-0.5
- Edward Oliver · DE · Out-0.5
- Terrel Bernard · LB · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.4
- DeAundre Alford · CB · Questionable-0.2
- Landon Jackson · DE · Questionable-0.2
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #21 | 1-0 | -1.0 | -0.8 | +0.5 | — |
| 2025 | 2 | #4 | 2-0 | +2.9 | -1.3 | +1.7 | +3.9 |
| 2025 | 3 | #9 | 3-0 | +1.8 | -2.2 | -3.0 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 4 | #12 | 4-0 | +1.4 | -1.3 | -6.3 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 5 | #14 | 4-1 | -0.5 | -1.5 | -9.1 | -1.9 |
| 2025 | 6 | #18 | 4-2 | -2.1 | -1.9 | -8.7 | -1.7 |
| 2025 | 7 | #14 | 4-2 | -1.0 | — | -8.0 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 8 | #10 | 5-2 | +1.4 | -2.9 | -6.8 | +2.4 |
| 2025 | 9 | #9 | 6-2 | +3.8 | -2.3 | -1.7 | +2.4 |
| 2025 | 10 | #12 | 6-3 | +1.0 | -1.9 | -4.5 | -2.8 |
| 2025 | 11 | #7 | 7-3 | +2.1 | -2.0 | -4.6 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 12 | #11 | 7-4 | +1.3 | -2.8 | -5.3 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 13 | #6 | 8-4 | +4.5 | -1.8 | -2.5 | +3.3 |
| 2025 | 14 | #9 | 9-4 | +2.6 | -2.7 | -4.0 | -1.9 |
| 2025 | 15 | #5 | 10-4 | +4.6 | -0.8 | -2.8 | +2.0 |
| 2025 | 16 | #8 | 11-4 | +2.1 | -2.1 | -4.6 | -2.5 |
| 2025 | 17 | #7 | 11-5 | +1.4 | -3.2 | -4.7 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 18 | #11 | 12-5 | +0.2 | -5.0 | -6.7 | -1.2 |