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Earl
2.2

2.2

Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026

#10
rank
+0.9
rating (points, neutral field)
6-11
record (2025)
-1.7
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Cincinnati sits 10th with a 0.892 neutral-field rating, but that number dropped 0.693 from last week and the model already docks them 2.2 points for injuries to Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Dexter Lawrence. The offense has still posted 25.6 points per game over the last five with a positive 0.0916 EPA differential per play, yet the 3-2 record and -1.68 vs-market gap say the market has been pricing them higher than their results justify. With a strength of schedule of 0.868 and a prior-season rating of -1.335, this is a sell-high spot if the injury report keeps thinning.

Unavailable this week(-2.2 pts of rating)

  • Tee Higgins · WR · Questionable-0.6
  • Dexter Lawrence · DT · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.5
  • Ja'Marr Chase · WR · Questionable-0.5
  • Jonathan Allen · DT · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
  • Kyle Dugger · S · Out-0.2
  • Bobby Hill · DT · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.1
  • Bryan Cook · S · Questionable-0.1

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2025 season

0.3 pts-17.3 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs MktΔ
20251#101-0+0.1—-0.8—
20252#122-0+0.3—-1.3+0.2
20253#292-1-7.3-0.6-6.7-7.5
20254#322-2-10.5-1.3-7.9-3.2
20255#302-3-9.7-0.1-3.1+0.8
20256#312-4-10.6-1.1-2.0-0.9
20257#283-4-9.1-1.4-1.1+1.5
20258#273-5-9.8-0.8-0.9-0.6
20259#313-6-13.5-4.4-5.1-3.8
202510#303-6-9.3—-1.3+4.2
202511#323-7-17.3-6.5-7.3-8.0
202512#323-8-13.0-3.1-3.0+4.3
202513#264-8-7.5-1.7+1.7+5.5
202514#244-9-5.1-0.5+3.6+2.4
202515#264-10-8.0-1.3+1.6-3.0
202516#235-10-6.7-3.3+1.0+1.4
202517#146-10-2.3-1.8+4.8+4.4
202518#166-11-2.8-1.3+3.6-0.5