1.7

Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026

#11

rank

+0.8

rating (points, neutral field)

8-9

record (2023)

-1.5

vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Denver sits at 11th with a 0.822 neutral-field rating, but that number is cratering, down 3.009 points week-over-week, and the -1.46 vs-market gap says the public is still pricing them closer to their 3.037 prior-season rating than their current form. The last five games tell the story: 19.4 points scored against 22.2 allowed, a -0.072 EPA per play, and a -2.8 point differential, all while missing both starting corners in Riley Moss and Patrick Surtain. That 1.7-point injury dock is only part of the problem, so I'm selling Denver hard and grabbing any opponent laying a short number, because this rating has further to fall.

Unavailable this week(-1.7 pts of rating)

Riley Moss · CB · Out-0.7
Patrick Surtain · CB · Out-0.6
Pat Bryant · WR · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.4

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2023 season

Week by week

Season	Wk	Rank	Rec	Rating	Inj	vs Mkt	Δ
2023	1	#27	0-1	-5.2	-0.7	-7.0	—
2023	2	#26	0-2	-5.4	-0.5	-7.8	-0.2
2023	3	#31	0-3	-14.4	-0.8	-11.4	-9.1
2023	4	#31	1-3	-15.0	-1.0	-13.2	-0.6
2023	5	#32	1-4	-15.4	-0.9	-14.0	-0.4
2023	6	#28	1-5	-12.7	-0.9	-9.5	+2.7
2023	7	#28	2-5	-10.8	-0.3	-6.1	+1.9
2023	8	#24	3-5	-7.0	-0.3	-1.7	+3.8
2023	9	#23	3-5	-6.2	—	-0.8	+0.9
2023	10	#20	4-5	-3.8	—	+1.4	+2.4
2023	11	#21	5-5	-3.3	-0.3	+0.6	+0.5
2023	12	#12	6-5	+0.5	-0.1	+4.7	+3.7
2023	13	#15	6-6	-0.7	-0.4	+4.0	-1.2
2023	14	#10	7-6	+1.7	-0.3	+6.3	+2.4
2023	15	#15	7-7	-1.9	-0.9	+3.0	-3.6
2023	16	#18	7-8	-2.6	-0.3	+1.7	-0.7
2023	17	#21	8-8	-5.4	-3.5	-1.6	-2.8
2023	18	#18	8-9	-3.1	-0.4	+1.3	+2.3