1.7
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
#11
rank
+0.8
rating (points, neutral field)
10-7
record (2024)
-1.5
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Denver sits at 11th with a 0.822 neutral-field rating, but that number is cratering, down 3.009 points week-over-week, and the -1.46 vs-market gap says the public is still pricing them closer to their 3.037 prior-season rating than their current form. The last five games tell the story: 19.4 points scored against 22.2 allowed, a -0.072 EPA per play, and a -2.8 point differential, all while missing both starting corners in Riley Moss and Patrick Surtain. That 1.7-point injury dock is only part of the problem, so I'm selling Denver hard and grabbing any opponent laying a short number, because this rating has further to fall.
Unavailable this week(-1.7 pts of rating)
- Riley Moss · CB · Out-0.7
- Patrick Surtain · CB · Out-0.6
- Pat Bryant · WR · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.4
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2024 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | #23 | 0-1 | -3.9 | — | +4.3 | — |
| 2024 | 2 | #27 | 0-2 | -5.2 | -1.0 | +4.6 | -1.3 |
| 2024 | 3 | #11 | 1-2 | +1.8 | -0.2 | +11.5 | +7.0 |
| 2024 | 4 | #8 | 2-2 | +2.7 | -0.1 | +12.9 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 5 | #6 | 3-2 | +3.4 | -0.3 | +13.2 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 6 | #11 | 3-3 | +1.3 | -1.0 | +12.7 | -2.1 |
| 2024 | 7 | #7 | 4-3 | +4.8 | -0.8 | +14.5 | +3.5 |
| 2024 | 8 | #8 | 5-3 | +3.5 | -0.3 | +9.7 | -1.3 |
| 2024 | 9 | #15 | 5-4 | -0.8 | -0.9 | +5.3 | -4.3 |
| 2024 | 10 | #13 | 5-5 | +0.1 | -0.5 | +5.4 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 11 | #11 | 6-5 | +2.8 | -1.2 | +8.1 | +2.7 |
| 2024 | 12 | #7 | 7-5 | +2.7 | -1.2 | +6.4 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 13 | #9 | 8-5 | +2.4 | -1.2 | +5.6 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 14 | #6 | 8-5 | +3.7 | — | +6.5 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 15 | #7 | 9-5 | +3.9 | -1.0 | +6.3 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 16 | #9 | 9-6 | +2.3 | -1.7 | +5.2 | -1.7 |
| 2024 | 17 | #7 | 9-7 | +4.1 | -0.0 | +6.8 | +1.8 |
| 2024 | 18 | #3 | 10-7 | +8.3 | -0.0 | +8.6 | +4.2 |