1.7
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
#11
rank
+0.8
rating (points, neutral field)
14-3
record (2025)
-1.5
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Denver sits at 11th with a 0.822 neutral-field rating, but that number is cratering, down 3.009 points week-over-week, and the -1.46 vs-market gap says the public is still pricing them closer to their 3.037 prior-season rating than their current form. The last five games tell the story: 19.4 points scored against 22.2 allowed, a -0.072 EPA per play, and a -2.8 point differential, all while missing both starting corners in Riley Moss and Patrick Surtain. That 1.7-point injury dock is only part of the problem, so I'm selling Denver hard and grabbing any opponent laying a short number, because this rating has further to fall.
Unavailable this week(-1.7 pts of rating)
- Riley Moss · CB · Out-0.7
- Patrick Surtain · CB · Out-0.6
- Pat Bryant · WR · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.4
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #22 | 1-0 | -1.1 | -1.7 | -2.5 | — |
| 2025 | 2 | #10 | 1-1 | +0.6 | -0.9 | -1.9 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 3 | #14 | 1-2 | +0.7 | -1.3 | -0.2 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 4 | #7 | 2-2 | +3.2 | -0.4 | +0.1 | +2.5 |
| 2025 | 5 | #3 | 3-2 | +5.4 | -0.3 | +3.0 | +2.2 |
| 2025 | 6 | #6 | 4-2 | +3.5 | -0.3 | +0.0 | -1.9 |
| 2025 | 7 | #8 | 5-2 | +2.4 | -0.2 | -1.0 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 8 | #7 | 6-2 | +5.3 | — | +1.7 | +2.9 |
| 2025 | 9 | #10 | 7-2 | +3.7 | -2.1 | +1.2 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 10 | #9 | 8-2 | +2.0 | -1.9 | -0.3 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 11 | #10 | 9-2 | +0.7 | -3.5 | -0.5 | -1.4 |
| 2025 | 12 | #6 | 9-2 | +4.1 | — | +3.4 | +3.4 |
| 2025 | 13 | #10 | 10-2 | +2.5 | -0.4 | +0.4 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 14 | #12 | 11-2 | +0.5 | -1.0 | -3.1 | -2.1 |
| 2025 | 15 | #12 | 12-2 | +1.7 | -0.7 | -1.5 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 16 | #11 | 12-3 | +0.7 | -0.4 | -0.9 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 17 | #10 | 13-3 | -0.3 | -1.5 | -4.4 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 18 | #8 | 14-3 | +2.4 | -0.5 | -4.8 | +2.7 |