2.9
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
#19
rank
-4.3
rating (points, neutral field)
9-8
record (2023)
-1.0
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Indianapolis sits at 19th with a -4.345 neutral-field rating, meaning they'd be roughly 4.3-point underdogs to an average team, and that number has cratered 3.935 points in a single week. The last five games tell the story: 24.8 points scored against 27.6 allowed, a -0.111 EPA differential, and a -2.8 point margin, all while missing DeForest Buckner and Arden Key up front. At 2-3 with a -1.01 vs-market mark, this is a clear sell — the market is still pricing them closer to average than their underlying numbers justify.
Unavailable this week(-2.9 pts of rating)
- DeForest Buckner · DT · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.6
- Keenan Allen · WR · Questionable-0.5
- Arden Key · DE · Out-0.4
- Ashton Dulin · WR · Out-0.4
- Jaylon Carlies · LB · Out-0.4
- Charvarius Ward · CB · Questionable-0.3
- Darius Slayton · WR · Questionable-0.3
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2023 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | #31 | 0-1 | -10.5 | -0.4 | -2.9 | — |
| 2023 | 2 | #30 | 1-1 | -8.7 | -0.6 | -1.8 | +1.8 |
| 2023 | 3 | #29 | 2-1 | -9.7 | -5.2 | -0.7 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 4 | #17 | 2-2 | -3.1 | -1.9 | +6.4 | +6.6 |
| 2023 | 5 | #16 | 3-2 | -0.4 | -1.0 | +9.2 | +2.6 |
| 2023 | 6 | #18 | 3-3 | -2.0 | -1.2 | +7.1 | -1.5 |
| 2023 | 7 | #19 | 3-4 | -1.6 | -2.0 | +8.5 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 8 | #22 | 3-5 | -5.8 | -3.4 | +3.4 | -4.2 |
| 2023 | 9 | #18 | 4-5 | -2.8 | -2.3 | +5.1 | +3.0 |
| 2023 | 10 | #21 | 5-5 | -3.9 | -2.3 | +2.0 | -1.1 |
| 2023 | 11 | #15 | 5-5 | -1.8 | — | +3.4 | +2.1 |
| 2023 | 12 | #17 | 6-5 | -2.3 | -1.1 | +3.4 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 13 | #19 | 7-5 | -3.1 | -2.0 | +1.6 | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 14 | #20 | 7-6 | -4.7 | -1.7 | +0.7 | -1.6 |
| 2023 | 15 | #17 | 8-6 | -2.5 | -1.5 | +3.2 | +2.2 |
| 2023 | 16 | #21 | 8-7 | -5.1 | -2.1 | +1.2 | -2.6 |
| 2023 | 17 | #22 | 9-7 | -5.7 | -3.3 | +0.4 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 18 | #19 | 9-8 | -4.2 | -1.4 | +1.9 | +1.4 |