2.9

2.9

Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026

#19
rank
-4.3
rating (points, neutral field)
8-9
record (2024)
-1.0
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Indianapolis sits at 19th with a -4.345 neutral-field rating, meaning they'd be roughly 4.3-point underdogs to an average team, and that number has cratered 3.935 points in a single week. The last five games tell the story: 24.8 points scored against 27.6 allowed, a -0.111 EPA differential, and a -2.8 point margin, all while missing DeForest Buckner and Arden Key up front. At 2-3 with a -1.01 vs-market mark, this is a clear sell — the market is still pricing them closer to average than their underlying numbers justify.

Unavailable this week(-2.9 pts of rating)

  • DeForest Buckner · DT · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.6
  • Keenan Allen · WR · Questionable-0.5
  • Arden Key · DE · Out-0.4
  • Ashton Dulin · WR · Out-0.4
  • Jaylon Carlies · LB · Out-0.4
  • Charvarius Ward · CB · Questionable-0.3
  • Darius Slayton · WR · Questionable-0.3

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2024 season

-1.5 pts-13.7 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs MktΔ
20241#240-1-3.9-1.4+10.2—
20242#240-2-3.9-1.4-3.7-0.0
20243#191-2-2.9-1.0-1.5+1.0
20244#162-2-1.6-2.0+2.3+1.3
20245#262-3-7.0-5.6-2.5-5.4
20246#233-3-5.2-4.9-1.3+1.8
20247#234-3-5.3-4.5-2.0-0.1
20248#194-4-2.9-2.0+1.3+2.5
20249#174-5-2.4-1.3+2.2+0.5
202410#204-6-3.6-2.6+1.5-1.2
202411#185-6-1.5-1.3+2.6+2.1
202412#195-7-2.1-1.6+1.8-0.6
202413#226-7-5.5-4.1-1.2-3.4
202414#196-7-1.7—+1.9+3.8
202415#206-8-5.7-2.4-0.8-4.0
202416#267-8-7.4-4.4-2.0-1.7
202417#277-9-11.5-5.4-6.8-4.1
202418#288-9-13.7-8.2-8.6-2.2