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Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
#1
rank
+10.5
rating (points, neutral field)
9-8
record (2023)
+7.7
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Jacksonville sits at No. 1 with a 10.46 neutral-field rating, and their last five games back it up: 24.6 points scored against just 14.0 allowed, a plus-10.6 point differential, and a 0.249 EPA edge per play. That rating is 7.66 points clear of the market, so the books are still pricing the Jaguars like a good-but-not-elite team while my number says they're the real thing — that's a buy, though the 2.88-point drop this week and a defense missing Eric Murray (doubtful) with Josh Hines-Allen and Jourdan Lewis limited in practice are worth watching before you lay the wood.
Unavailable this week(-1.0 pts of rating)
- Eric Murray · S · Doubtful-0.2
- Jourdan Lewis · CB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
- Joshua Hines-Allen · DE · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
- Jarrian Jones · CB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
- DaVon Hamilton · DT · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
- Montaric Brown · CB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2023 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | #9 | 1-0 | +2.6 | — | -3.9 | — |
| 2023 | 2 | #7 | 1-1 | +1.9 | -0.0 | +2.9 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 3 | #22 | 1-2 | -4.9 | -1.4 | -6.6 | -6.8 |
| 2023 | 4 | #12 | 2-2 | -0.8 | -1.4 | -2.4 | +4.1 |
| 2023 | 5 | #7 | 3-2 | +3.8 | -1.3 | +3.4 | +4.6 |
| 2023 | 6 | #6 | 4-2 | +4.0 | -1.9 | +4.4 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 7 | #11 | 5-2 | +1.2 | -4.9 | +2.3 | -2.8 |
| 2023 | 8 | #8 | 6-2 | +2.9 | -3.2 | +3.7 | +1.7 |
| 2023 | 9 | #3 | 6-2 | +6.6 | — | +6.1 | +3.7 |
| 2023 | 10 | #11 | 6-3 | +0.6 | -1.0 | -0.4 | -6.1 |
| 2023 | 11 | #9 | 7-3 | +2.1 | -1.5 | +0.6 | +1.6 |
| 2023 | 12 | #8 | 8-3 | +2.9 | -1.1 | +1.9 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 13 | #8 | 8-4 | +2.4 | -0.7 | -1.2 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 14 | #16 | 8-5 | -2.7 | -4.7 | -4.8 | -5.1 |
| 2023 | 15 | #11 | 8-6 | -1.1 | -1.9 | -1.6 | +1.6 |
| 2023 | 16 | #20 | 8-7 | -4.0 | -2.8 | -4.3 | -2.9 |
| 2023 | 17 | #24 | 9-7 | -6.4 | -7.5 | -5.8 | -2.3 |
| 2023 | 18 | #17 | 9-8 | -3.1 | -2.8 | -2.0 | +3.3 |