1
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
#1
rank
+10.5
rating (points, neutral field)
4-13
record (2024)
+7.7
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Jacksonville sits at No. 1 with a 10.46 neutral-field rating, and their last five games back it up: 24.6 points scored against just 14.0 allowed, a plus-10.6 point differential, and a 0.249 EPA edge per play. That rating is 7.66 points clear of the market, so the books are still pricing the Jaguars like a good-but-not-elite team while my number says they're the real thing — that's a buy, though the 2.88-point drop this week and a defense missing Eric Murray (doubtful) with Josh Hines-Allen and Jourdan Lewis limited in practice are worth watching before you lay the wood.
Unavailable this week(-1.0 pts of rating)
- Eric Murray · S · Doubtful-0.2
- Jourdan Lewis · CB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
- Joshua Hines-Allen · DE · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
- Jarrian Jones · CB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
- DaVon Hamilton · DT · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
- Montaric Brown · CB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2024 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | #16 | 0-1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | +1.4 | — |
| 2024 | 2 | #19 | 0-2 | -2.3 | -0.5 | -1.2 | -2.2 |
| 2024 | 3 | #30 | 0-3 | -9.0 | -0.7 | -6.7 | -6.7 |
| 2024 | 4 | #31 | 0-4 | -13.3 | -2.4 | -10.4 | -4.3 |
| 2024 | 5 | #28 | 1-4 | -10.4 | -1.5 | -8.0 | +2.9 |
| 2024 | 6 | #29 | 1-5 | -11.5 | -1.3 | -10.3 | -1.1 |
| 2024 | 7 | #24 | 2-5 | -8.3 | -0.5 | -7.6 | +3.3 |
| 2024 | 8 | #24 | 2-6 | -6.5 | -1.1 | -3.0 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 9 | #27 | 2-7 | -9.0 | -3.9 | -4.4 | -2.5 |
| 2024 | 10 | #25 | 2-8 | -7.6 | -4.0 | -2.0 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 11 | #31 | 2-9 | -15.9 | -9.3 | -9.2 | -8.3 |
| 2024 | 12 | #25 | 2-9 | -6.2 | — | -0.6 | +9.8 |
| 2024 | 13 | #26 | 2-10 | -8.2 | -2.4 | -2.2 | -2.0 |
| 2024 | 14 | #24 | 3-10 | -6.1 | -0.5 | -0.5 | +2.1 |
| 2024 | 15 | #25 | 3-11 | -7.8 | -1.2 | -1.0 | -1.7 |
| 2024 | 16 | #25 | 3-12 | -7.1 | -0.1 | +1.2 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 17 | #24 | 4-12 | -8.8 | -1.4 | +0.7 | -1.6 |
| 2024 | 18 | #22 | 4-13 | -7.5 | -0.2 | +3.2 | +1.3 |