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Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
#1
rank
+10.5
rating (points, neutral field)
13-4
record (2025)
+7.7
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Jacksonville sits at No. 1 with a 10.46 neutral-field rating, and their last five games back it up: 24.6 points scored against just 14.0 allowed, a plus-10.6 point differential, and a 0.249 EPA edge per play. That rating is 7.66 points clear of the market, so the books are still pricing the Jaguars like a good-but-not-elite team while my number says they're the real thing — that's a buy, though the 2.88-point drop this week and a defense missing Eric Murray (doubtful) with Josh Hines-Allen and Jourdan Lewis limited in practice are worth watching before you lay the wood.
Unavailable this week(-1.0 pts of rating)
- Eric Murray · S · Doubtful-0.2
- Jourdan Lewis · CB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
- Joshua Hines-Allen · DE · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
- Jarrian Jones · CB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
- DaVon Hamilton · DT · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
- Montaric Brown · CB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #4 | 1-0 | +0.5 | -1.3 | +0.2 | — |
| 2025 | 2 | #9 | 1-1 | +1.1 | -0.8 | +2.0 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 3 | #7 | 2-1 | +1.9 | -0.1 | +4.0 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 4 | #8 | 3-1 | +2.7 | -0.4 | +5.6 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 5 | #7 | 4-1 | +3.5 | -0.8 | +8.2 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 6 | #7 | 4-2 | +2.5 | -0.5 | +7.8 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 7 | #18 | 4-3 | -1.8 | -1.0 | +2.4 | -4.3 |
| 2025 | 8 | #15 | 4-3 | -0.9 | — | +4.4 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 9 | #18 | 5-3 | -3.1 | -2.4 | +0.0 | -2.2 |
| 2025 | 10 | #18 | 5-4 | -3.5 | -3.8 | -1.0 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 11 | #14 | 6-4 | -0.1 | -4.0 | +3.6 | +3.4 |
| 2025 | 12 | #15 | 7-4 | -1.3 | -4.9 | +1.3 | -1.2 |
| 2025 | 13 | #8 | 8-4 | +4.1 | -1.5 | +5.9 | +5.4 |
| 2025 | 14 | #4 | 9-4 | +5.9 | -1.9 | +7.9 | +1.8 |
| 2025 | 15 | #4 | 10-4 | +8.2 | -0.5 | +9.4 | +2.3 |
| 2025 | 16 | #3 | 11-4 | +8.6 | -0.9 | +10.3 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 17 | #3 | 12-4 | +6.9 | -1.8 | +8.4 | -1.7 |
| 2025 | 18 | #3 | 13-4 | +10.3 | -0.2 | +10.8 | +3.4 |