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Earl's NFL power ranking ยท Week 5, 2026
#5
rank
+4.1
rating (points, neutral field)
6-11
record (2025)
-1.0
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Kansas City sits at No. 5 with a 4.136 neutral-field rating, but that number dropped 0.887 from last week and the market is pricing them about a point better than my model (-0.98 vs. market), so I'm selling KC at current spreads. The 4-0 record is buoyed by a soft schedule (-2.597) and a prior-season rating of -2.919, yet the underlying numbers are legit: 29.5 points per game and a +0.2305 EPA differential over the last five. With zero injury points docked, this is a healthy roster whose rating still trails the elite tier, so lay off the inflated lines.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | ฮ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #15 | 0-1 | -0.6 | โ | -1.1 | โ |
| 2025 | 2 | #20 | 0-2 | -2.4 | -1.2 | -2.8 | -1.8 |
| 2025 | 3 | #15 | 1-2 | +0.1 | -1.5 | -2.4 | +2.5 |
| 2025 | 4 | #3 | 2-2 | +4.5 | -0.4 | +2.7 | +4.4 |
| 2025 | 5 | #10 | 2-3 | +2.6 | -0.3 | +0.1 | -1.9 |
| 2025 | 6 | #5 | 3-3 | +4.7 | โ | +2.4 | +2.1 |
| 2025 | 7 | #2 | 4-3 | +7.3 | โ | +2.2 | +2.6 |
| 2025 | 8 | #2 | 5-3 | +9.3 | โ | +1.3 | +2.0 |
| 2025 | 9 | #5 | 5-4 | +6.4 | -1.5 | -2.1 | -2.9 |
| 2025 | 10 | #2 | 5-4 | +8.0 | โ | +0.4 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 11 | #4 | 5-5 | +5.9 | -1.4 | -3.1 | -2.2 |
| 2025 | 12 | #4 | 6-5 | +5.5 | -1.6 | -2.6 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 13 | #5 | 6-6 | +4.6 | -1.0 | -3.7 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 14 | #8 | 6-7 | +3.0 | -0.7 | -6.0 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 15 | #13 | 6-8 | +1.3 | -1.9 | -8.5 | -1.7 |
| 2025 | 16 | #19 | 6-9 | -5.6 | -5.4 | -11.6 | -6.9 |
| 2025 | 17 | #17 | 6-10 | -4.5 | -3.2 | -6.0 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 18 | #17 | 6-11 | -4.6 | -2.0 | -6.2 | -0.0 |