0

0

Earl's NFL power ranking ยท Week 5, 2026

#4
rank
+4.4
rating (points, neutral field)
10-7
record (2023)
-1.9
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

The Rams sit at No. 4 with a 4.426 neutral-field rating, but that number dropped 1.294 points in a week and they're just 2-3 with a -0.2 point differential over their last five. At 4.426 they'd be roughly a 4.5-point favorite on a neutral field, yet the market has them 1.87 points worse than that rating implies, so this is a buy-low window on a team whose underlying -0.12 EPA... actually +0.1212 EPA per play is far better than the 24 points per game they've allowed. With no key players docked and a manageable 2.447 strength of schedule, lay the points before the market catches up.

Rating over the 2023 season

4.0 pts-3.6 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs Mktฮ”
20231#161-0-0.3โ€”+4.2โ€”
20232#61-1+2.5โ€”+14.0+2.8
20233#81-2+3.0โ€”+10.1+0.5
20234#82-2+3.4โ€”+7.7+0.4
20235#92-3+2.9โ€”+7.2-0.6
20236#93-3+3.5โ€”+7.6+0.7
20237#83-4+1.7โ€”+5.2-1.8
20238#153-5-0.7โ€”+3.5-2.5
20239#213-6-3.6โ€”+0.8-2.9
202310#193-6-3.1โ€”+0.4+0.5
202311#184-6-2.7โ€”-0.5+0.4
202312#145-6-0.0โ€”+3.4+2.7
202313#76-6+3.1โ€”+5.6+3.1
202314#66-7+3.3โ€”+6.8+0.3
202315#97-7+1.7โ€”+5.2-1.7
202316#78-7+2.5โ€”+5.2+0.8
202317#69-7+2.6โ€”+4.8+0.1
202318#510-7+4.0โ€”+5.8+1.4