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Earl's NFL power ranking ยท Week 5, 2026

#4
rank
+4.4
rating (points, neutral field)
10-7
record (2024)
-1.9
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

The Rams sit at No. 4 with a 4.426 neutral-field rating, but that number dropped 1.294 points in a week and they're just 2-3 with a -0.2 point differential over their last five. At 4.426 they'd be roughly a 4.5-point favorite on a neutral field, yet the market has them 1.87 points worse than that rating implies, so this is a buy-low window on a team whose underlying -0.12 EPA... actually +0.1212 EPA per play is far better than the 24 points per game they've allowed. With no key players docked and a manageable 2.447 strength of schedule, lay the points before the market catches up.

Rating over the 2024 season

3.6 pts-4.1 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs Mktฮ”
20241#70-1+3.6โ€”+7.4โ€”
20242#230-2-3.6โ€”-4.5-7.3
20243#171-2-1.8โ€”+3.3+1.9
20244#221-3-4.1โ€”+0.3-2.3
20245#211-4-3.5โ€”+4.1+0.6
20246#181-4-1.8โ€”+5.3+1.7
20247#182-4-2.1โ€”+2.5-0.3
20248#133-4+1.2โ€”+6.7+3.3
20249#124-4+1.5โ€”+4.3+0.3
202410#164-5-1.0โ€”+0.7-2.4
202411#165-5-0.3โ€”+0.4+0.6
202412#185-6-1.9โ€”-0.6-1.5
202413#176-6-0.7โ€”+0.9+1.2
202414#157-6+0.7โ€”+1.7+1.4
202415#98-6+1.8โ€”+3.1+1.0
202416#109-6+2.1โ€”+2.7+0.4
202417#1110-6+1.6โ€”+1.5-0.5
202418#910-7+0.8โ€”+4.0-0.9