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Earl's NFL power ranking ยท Week 5, 2026

#4
rank
+4.4
rating (points, neutral field)
12-5
record (2025)
-1.9
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

The Rams sit at No. 4 with a 4.426 neutral-field rating, but that number dropped 1.294 points in a week and they're just 2-3 with a -0.2 point differential over their last five. At 4.426 they'd be roughly a 4.5-point favorite on a neutral field, yet the market has them 1.87 points worse than that rating implies, so this is a buy-low window on a team whose underlying -0.12 EPA... actually +0.1212 EPA per play is far better than the 24 points per game they've allowed. With no key players docked and a manageable 2.447 strength of schedule, lay the points before the market catches up.

Rating over the 2025 season

14.6 pts0.5 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs Mktฮ”
20251#61-0+0.5โ€”+0.6โ€”
20252#32-0+3.2โ€”+1.0+2.8
20253#82-1+1.8โ€”+0.9-1.4
20254#53-1+3.9โ€”+2.4+2.1
20255#53-2+4.8โ€”+0.1+0.9
20256#44-2+4.8โ€”-2.0-0.1
20257#15-2+9.4โ€”+3.5+4.7
20258#15-2+10.2โ€”+3.3+0.8
20259#16-2+10.9โ€”+3.2+0.7
202510#17-2+12.8โ€”+5.5+1.8
202511#18-2+13.4โ€”+6.0+0.7
202512#19-2+14.6โ€”+7.3+1.2
202513#19-3+12.4โ€”+3.9-2.3
202514#110-3+14.5โ€”+4.5+2.2
202515#111-3+13.7โ€”+1.4-0.8
202516#111-4+13.8โ€”+3.5+0.1
202517#211-5+11.1โ€”+2.0-2.7
202518#212-5+10.9โ€”-0.2-0.3