1.3
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
#6
rank
+3.8
rating (points, neutral field)
9-8
record (2025)
+4.0
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Minnesota grades as 3.795 points better than an average team on a neutral field, sixth in the league, and that rating jumped 1.112 this week on the back of a 5-0 start with a plus-9.0 point differential and only 12.8 points allowed per game over the last five. The market sits at 3.95, essentially in lockstep with my number, so there's no free spread value here even with the rating already docked 1.3 points for injuries to Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and Aaron Jones. The concern is that this surge comes against a soft minus-2.516 schedule, so I'm treating Minnesota as a hold rather than a buy at this price.
Unavailable this week(-1.3 pts of rating)
- Justin Jefferson · WR · Questionable-0.6
- Jordan Addison · WR · Questionable-0.5
- Aaron Jones · RB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #14 | 1-0 | -0.6 | -0.5 | +0.2 | — |
| 2025 | 2 | #32 | 1-1 | -9.3 | -5.1 | -8.2 | -8.7 |
| 2025 | 3 | #24 | 2-1 | -5.0 | -7.1 | -4.7 | +4.3 |
| 2025 | 4 | #19 | 2-2 | -3.4 | -5.2 | -4.5 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 5 | #18 | 3-2 | -2.3 | -3.4 | -2.3 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 6 | #8 | 3-2 | +1.7 | — | +2.7 | +3.9 |
| 2025 | 7 | #12 | 3-3 | -0.6 | -1.4 | -0.7 | -2.3 |
| 2025 | 8 | #21 | 3-4 | -5.4 | -0.9 | -5.1 | -4.7 |
| 2025 | 9 | #19 | 4-4 | -3.2 | -1.4 | -1.4 | +2.1 |
| 2025 | 10 | #20 | 4-5 | -3.7 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 11 | #21 | 4-6 | -4.6 | -0.9 | -1.5 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 12 | #21 | 4-7 | -5.3 | -0.6 | -2.7 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 13 | #31 | 4-8 | -13.9 | -7.8 | -10.0 | -8.7 |
| 2025 | 14 | #22 | 5-8 | -4.4 | -2.0 | +0.5 | +9.6 |
| 2025 | 15 | #18 | 6-8 | -1.5 | -1.0 | +4.5 | +2.9 |
| 2025 | 16 | #16 | 7-8 | -2.1 | -1.4 | +3.2 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 17 | #28 | 8-8 | -8.6 | -9.9 | -1.9 | -6.5 |
| 2025 | 18 | #13 | 9-8 | -0.5 | -3.1 | +2.8 | +8.1 |