1.9
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
#14
rank
-0.2
rating (points, neutral field)
10-7
record (2024)
+2.5
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Pittsburgh sits at 14th with a -0.244 neutral-field rating, but that number is already docked 1.9 points for injuries and just jumped 2.475 versus last week, so the market is catching up fast. The underlying profile is mediocre — 22.2 points scored against 21.8 allowed over the last five, with a -0.0447 EPA differential — yet they're 3-2 and beating the number by 2.49 points, which screams sell-high if this rating keeps climbing. With Pittman, Dean, and Elliott all out, I'd fade any spread that prices them as a full 1.9 points better than this roster actually is.
Unavailable this week(-1.9 pts of rating)
- Michael Pittman · WR · Out-0.6
- Jamel Dean · CB · Out-0.5
- Armentae Elliott · S · Out-0.4
- Jalen Ramsey · CB · Questionable-0.3
- Rico Dowdle · RB · Questionable-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2024 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | #9 | 1-0 | +1.5 | -2.1 | +5.3 | — |
| 2024 | 2 | #12 | 2-0 | +1.4 | -2.1 | +1.1 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 3 | #5 | 3-0 | +4.3 | -2.3 | +4.7 | +2.9 |
| 2024 | 4 | #9 | 3-1 | +2.7 | -3.0 | +2.5 | -1.6 |
| 2024 | 5 | #11 | 3-2 | +1.1 | -3.4 | +0.1 | -1.6 |
| 2024 | 6 | #8 | 4-2 | +3.3 | -1.4 | +1.9 | +2.2 |
| 2024 | 7 | #4 | 5-2 | +6.6 | -0.7 | +7.1 | +3.3 |
| 2024 | 8 | #9 | 6-2 | +3.2 | -3.2 | +3.7 | -3.4 |
| 2024 | 9 | #3 | 6-2 | +6.2 | — | +6.8 | +3.0 |
| 2024 | 10 | #7 | 7-2 | +5.2 | -0.2 | +6.2 | -1.0 |
| 2024 | 11 | #10 | 8-2 | +4.1 | -1.3 | +5.5 | -1.1 |
| 2024 | 12 | #11 | 8-3 | +1.7 | -1.2 | +2.1 | -2.4 |
| 2024 | 13 | #6 | 9-3 | +3.4 | -0.4 | +4.5 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 14 | #8 | 10-3 | +3.1 | -0.7 | +3.6 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 15 | #17 | 10-4 | -0.9 | -3.6 | -0.1 | -4.0 |
| 2024 | 16 | #21 | 10-5 | -5.5 | -7.1 | -3.8 | -4.6 |
| 2024 | 17 | #15 | 10-6 | -1.4 | -2.1 | 0.0 | +4.1 |
| 2024 | 18 | #14 | 10-7 | -0.6 | -0.7 | +2.5 | +0.9 |