1.6

Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026

rank

+4.8

rating (points, neutral field)

9-8

record (2023)

-1.3

vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Seattle grades out as the No. 3 team in the league at 4.81 points better than average on a neutral field, and that rating jumped 0.53 this week despite a strength of schedule sitting at -0.849, so this 3-2 record is better than it looks. The market is still pricing them about 1.25 points short of my number, which makes them a clear buy, especially with the rating already absorbing a 1.6-point dock for Zach Charbonnet and Chazz Surratt being out. A 26.8 points-per-game offense over the last five with a +5.8 point differential is real, so lay the points while the number stays soft.

Unavailable this week(-1.6 pts of rating)

Zach Charbonnet · RB · Out-1.2
George Holani · RB · Questionable-0.2
Chazz Surratt · LB · Out-0.1
Julian Neal · CB · Out-0.1

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2023 season

Week by week

Season	Wk	Rank	Rec	Rating	Inj	vs Mkt	Δ
2023	1	#21	0-1	-2.1	-0.2	-5.3	—
2023	2	#21	1-1	-2.6	-2.0	+0.1	-0.5
2023	3	#19	2-1	-2.2	-2.9	-1.3	+0.4
2023	4	#10	3-1	+1.5	-1.8	+0.8	+3.7
2023	5	#8	3-1	+3.4	—	+3.8	+1.9
2023	6	#11	3-2	+1.7	-0.5	+3.8	-1.6
2023	7	#18	4-2	-0.7	-2.1	+0.9	-2.5
2023	8	#11	5-2	+1.4	-1.5	+3.1	+2.1
2023	9	#17	5-3	-2.0	-0.8	-1.1	-3.5
2023	10	#17	6-3	-3.0	-0.9	-2.7	-0.9
2023	11	#22	6-4	-4.0	-1.8	-3.4	-1.0
2023	12	#25	6-5	-6.5	-3.1	-4.3	-2.5
2023	13	#18	6-6	-2.7	-1.5	-0.3	+3.8
2023	14	#21	6-7	-5.6	-5.3	-1.4	-2.9
2023	15	#19	7-7	-3.3	-2.9	+1.8	+2.3
2023	16	#19	8-7	-3.1	-2.7	+1.2	+0.1
2023	17	#23	8-8	-6.3	-4.5	-3.0	-3.2
2023	18	#16	9-8	-2.9	-1.2	+0.9	+3.4