1.6

1.6

Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026

#3
rank
+4.8
rating (points, neutral field)
10-7
record (2024)
-1.3
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Seattle grades out as the No. 3 team in the league at 4.81 points better than average on a neutral field, and that rating jumped 0.53 this week despite a strength of schedule sitting at -0.849, so this 3-2 record is better than it looks. The market is still pricing them about 1.25 points short of my number, which makes them a clear buy, especially with the rating already absorbing a 1.6-point dock for Zach Charbonnet and Chazz Surratt being out. A 26.8 points-per-game offense over the last five with a +5.8 point differential is real, so lay the points while the number stays soft.

Unavailable this week(-1.6 pts of rating)

  • Zach Charbonnet · RB · Out-1.2
  • George Holani · RB · Questionable-0.2
  • Chazz Surratt · LB · Out-0.1
  • Julian Neal · CB · Out-0.1

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2024 season

1.6 pts-6.1 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs MktΔ
20241#201-0-2.2-1.0-8.9—
20242#202-0-2.5-1.6-8.6-0.3
20243#123-0+1.6-1.6-3.1+4.1
20244#183-1-2.3-2.4-4.0-3.9
20245#233-2-4.3-2.0-6.8-2.0
20246#223-3-4.3-1.6-5.4-0.1
20247#154-3-0.7-1.3-0.7+3.6
20248#214-4-3.2-2.1-2.3-2.5
20249#244-5-6.1-4.1-3.7-2.8
202410#184-5-1.9—-0.4+4.1
202411#195-5-2.1-1.6-1.3-0.2
202412#156-5-0.3-0.6+2.1+1.8
202413#127-5+0.3-0.1+2.5+0.6
202414#128-5+1.5-1.3+3.9+1.1
202415#148-6-0.2-1.5+3.0-1.6
202416#128-7+0.5-0.4+4.0+0.7
202417#149-7-1.2-1.6+1.6-1.7
202418#1210-7-0.3-1.8+1.0+0.8