1.6

1.6

Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026

#3
rank
+4.8
rating (points, neutral field)
14-3
record (2025)
-1.3
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Seattle grades out as the No. 3 team in the league at 4.81 points better than average on a neutral field, and that rating jumped 0.53 this week despite a strength of schedule sitting at -0.849, so this 3-2 record is better than it looks. The market is still pricing them about 1.25 points short of my number, which makes them a clear buy, especially with the rating already absorbing a 1.6-point dock for Zach Charbonnet and Chazz Surratt being out. A 26.8 points-per-game offense over the last five with a +5.8 point differential is real, so lay the points while the number stays soft.

Unavailable this week(-1.6 pts of rating)

  • Zach Charbonnet · RB · Out-1.2
  • George Holani · RB · Questionable-0.2
  • Chazz Surratt · LB · Out-0.1
  • Julian Neal · CB · Out-0.1

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2025 season

13.3 pts-0.9 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs MktΔ
20251#180-1-0.9-0.3+0.5—
20252#81-1+1.6-0.6+4.6+2.5
20253#22-1+5.1-1.9+6.4+3.5
20254#23-1+7.0-0.4+7.7+1.9
20255#63-2+3.8-1.6+3.7-3.2
20256#34-2+6.3-1.3+7.0+2.5
20257#35-2+6.9-0.4+6.7+0.7
20258#55-2+7.2—+7.3+0.3
20259#26-2+8.8-1.4+7.6+1.6
202510#37-2+8.0-3.2+6.8-0.8
202511#27-3+11.0-0.5+10.0+3.1
202512#28-3+8.0-1.9+5.6-3.0
202513#29-3+10.5-0.5+5.8+2.4
202514#210-3+13.3-0.1+7.4+2.8
202515#211-3+11.8-0.8+2.5-1.5
202516#212-3+12.6—+4.6+0.8
202517#113-3+11.3-1.0+5.0-1.3
202518#114-3+12.4-0.6+4.6+1.1