8.5
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
Washington sits dead last at 32 with a -15.806 neutral-field rating, and that number already bakes in an 8.5-point injury dock for Mariota, Diggs, and a questionable McLaurin, so the roster on the field is even thinner than the rating implies. The last-five profile is ugly on both sides: 23.0 points scored against 29.8 allowed, a -0.0568 EPA per play, and a -6.8 point differential, which is exactly what you'd expect from a 1-3 team. The market is giving them -5.5 versus their rating, meaning books are pricing Washington about five and a half points better than this model does, so I'm selling them hard and looking to fade any spread that asks them to stay within a touchdown.
Unavailable this week(-8.5 pts of rating)
- Marcus Mariota · QB · Out-4.7
- Stefon Diggs · WR · Out-2.0
- Terry McLaurin · WR · Questionable-0.5
- Jeremy McNichols · RB · Questionable-0.2
- Charles Omenihu · DE · Out-0.2
- Nicolas Cross · S · Out-0.2
- Percy Butler · S · Out-0.2
- Deatrich Wise · DE · Questionable-0.1
- K'Lavon Chaisson · LB · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.1
- Rachaad White · RB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
- Tyler Owens · S · Out-0.1
- Trenayvian Amos · CB · Questionable-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2024 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1 | #31 | 0-1 | -13.1 | — | -11.6 | — |
| 2024 | 2 | #31 | 1-1 | -13.6 | -1.7 | -8.6 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 3 | #31 | 2-1 | -10.3 | -1.4 | -2.4 | +3.3 |
| 2024 | 4 | #17 | 3-1 | -1.9 | -1.8 | +7.0 | +8.4 |
| 2024 | 5 | #10 | 4-1 | +1.4 | -2.1 | +9.1 | +3.4 |
| 2024 | 6 | #10 | 4-2 | +1.3 | -1.6 | +10.0 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 7 | #11 | 5-2 | +2.4 | -2.8 | +8.7 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 8 | #10 | 6-2 | +2.1 | -3.2 | +9.1 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 9 | #7 | 7-2 | +3.8 | -1.2 | +8.5 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 10 | #11 | 7-3 | +1.2 | -3.0 | +4.6 | -2.5 |
| 2024 | 11 | #13 | 7-4 | +1.8 | -1.3 | +5.5 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 12 | #16 | 7-5 | -1.0 | -1.5 | -0.1 | -2.8 |
| 2024 | 13 | #11 | 8-5 | +0.7 | -2.1 | +1.8 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 14 | #11 | 8-5 | +2.3 | — | +3.1 | +1.6 |
| 2024 | 15 | #13 | 9-5 | +0.0 | -2.0 | -0.2 | -2.3 |
| 2024 | 16 | #11 | 10-5 | +0.7 | -1.6 | +2.2 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 17 | #12 | 11-5 | +0.9 | -1.8 | +2.3 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 18 | #13 | 12-5 | -0.4 | -2.7 | +1.2 | -1.3 |