8.5
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
Washington sits dead last at 32 with a -15.806 neutral-field rating, and that number already bakes in an 8.5-point injury dock for Mariota, Diggs, and a questionable McLaurin, so the roster on the field is even thinner than the rating implies. The last-five profile is ugly on both sides: 23.0 points scored against 29.8 allowed, a -0.0568 EPA per play, and a -6.8 point differential, which is exactly what you'd expect from a 1-3 team. The market is giving them -5.5 versus their rating, meaning books are pricing Washington about five and a half points better than this model does, so I'm selling them hard and looking to fade any spread that asks them to stay within a touchdown.
Unavailable this week(-8.5 pts of rating)
- Marcus Mariota · QB · Out-4.7
- Stefon Diggs · WR · Out-2.0
- Terry McLaurin · WR · Questionable-0.5
- Jeremy McNichols · RB · Questionable-0.2
- Charles Omenihu · DE · Out-0.2
- Nicolas Cross · S · Out-0.2
- Percy Butler · S · Out-0.2
- Deatrich Wise · DE · Questionable-0.1
- K'Lavon Chaisson · LB · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.1
- Rachaad White · RB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
- Tyler Owens · S · Out-0.1
- Trenayvian Amos · CB · Questionable-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2025 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | #3 | 1-0 | +0.5 | -1.4 | -0.3 | — |
| 2025 | 2 | #15 | 1-1 | -0.3 | -2.2 | -0.2 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 3 | #27 | 2-1 | -6.4 | -9.6 | -5.8 | -6.1 |
| 2025 | 4 | #30 | 2-2 | -8.9 | -10.6 | -7.8 | -2.5 |
| 2025 | 5 | #11 | 3-2 | +1.7 | -2.5 | +3.6 | +10.6 |
| 2025 | 6 | #10 | 3-3 | +0.9 | -2.5 | +1.4 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 7 | #24 | 3-4 | -5.3 | -5.2 | -4.5 | -6.2 |
| 2025 | 8 | #29 | 3-5 | -11.0 | -8.6 | -8.3 | -5.7 |
| 2025 | 9 | #25 | 3-6 | -7.2 | -1.8 | -4.5 | +3.8 |
| 2025 | 10 | #32 | 3-7 | -15.8 | -9.1 | -12.0 | -8.6 |
| 2025 | 11 | #31 | 3-8 | -15.3 | -8.6 | -9.8 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 12 | #23 | 3-8 | -6.7 | — | -2.3 | +8.6 |
| 2025 | 13 | #32 | 3-9 | -14.1 | -8.2 | -9.3 | -7.4 |
| 2025 | 14 | #29 | 3-10 | -10.5 | -1.1 | -6.3 | +3.6 |
| 2025 | 15 | #29 | 4-10 | -15.9 | -8.5 | -10.0 | -5.4 |
| 2025 | 16 | #31 | 4-11 | -16.0 | -7.7 | -9.6 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 17 | #31 | 4-12 | -20.4 | -12.0 | -11.6 | -4.5 |
| 2025 | 18 | #30 | 5-12 | -18.2 | -12.0 | -10.6 | +2.2 |