Four Rotation Players Out Before Opening Night: How the Clippers' Rebuild Broke Before It Began
Four Rotation Players Out Before Opening Night: How the Clippers' Rebuild Broke Before It Began
The LA Clippers spent September apologizing. October is going to be spent scrambling.
At media day, interim president of basketball operations Trent Redden opened with the line the organization owed its fans: "Our fans deserve to hear from us before this, and for that we're sorry." That was the acknowledgment of the NBA's ruling β a $30 million fine, the loss of five first-round picks, a one-year ban for Steve Ballmer, and a six-month suspension for Lawrence Frank, whose job Redden now holds on an interim basis.
Apologies don't cover for absent players, though. And the Clippers have a lot of those.
The Injury List Is the Story
Brandon Ingram β the headliner of the return for Kawhi Leonard, along with Gradey Dick, two unprotected first-round picks in 2031 and 2033, an unprotected 2027 pick swap and two second-rounders β is out to start the season. A partially torn Achilles was discovered during a right heel surgery, and the team confirmed he won't be available for the opener. Ingram averaged 21.5 points on 47.7% shooting across 77 games last season. That's the closest thing this roster had to a No. 1 option, and it's gone before the first jump ball.
Max Strus is the latest addition to the pile. He suffered a partial tear of the plantar fascia in his right foot in the preseason opener against Golden State β a game the Clippers won 104-101 in Hawaii β and will be re-evaluated in four weeks. Bradley Beal, who re-signed this summer, has been dealing with a knee issue. Kobe Sanders is out with a hip injury. Reporting after the Strus news put the count at four rotation players expected to miss the start of the season.
That's not a slow start. That's a starting lineup rebuilt from the bench out.
What It Means On the Floor
The market has noticed. Season-long numbers for the Clippers sit at a win total of 28.5, and their championship price is 75,000 β tied with Milwaukee, Chicago and New Orleans, ahead of only Brooklyn and Sacramento. For a franchise that won 42 games last season with Kawhi Leonard on the roster, the shift is stark.
The underlying numbers were already trending down before the injuries. LA's power rating sits 13th at +1.864, meaning it would be roughly a two-point favorite on a neutral floor against an average team β but that figure has dropped 0.927 points in a week and sits 6.5 points below last season's 8.401 mark. A 42-40 record against a soft -0.289 strength of schedule didn't inspire much confidence to begin with.
Contrast that with where Leonard landed. Toronto went 46-36 last season with a +2.8 point differential, and the Raptors beat the Clippers 114-106 in Vancouver in the first meeting between the two since the trade β without Leonard, who is being brought along slowly in camp. Toronto subsequently locked him in on a two-year, $115 million extension, and he's coming off a season of 27.9 points on 50.5% shooting in 65 games.
The Clippers, meanwhile, dropped both of last season's meetings to Toronto by a combined margin β no, on the wrong side of that ledger entirely. They won both those games, 121-117 and 119-94, back when they had a closer.
The Realistic Framing
None of this means the season is forfeited in October. Ingram's timeline remains open-ended, and Strus's four-week re-evaluation window suggests a return inside the first month. But a team learning a new pecking order while missing its leading scorer, its starting wing, a veteran guard and a rotation piece is going to lose games it would otherwise win, and in the Pacific Division those losses compound quickly.
The Clippers asked their fans for patience at media day. The schedule is about to test how much of it exists.
