20.7 Points, 61% Shooting, Zero Wins: The Jaime Jaquez Jr. Paradox in Milwaukee
20.7 Points, 61% Shooting, Zero Wins: The Jaime Jaquez Jr. Paradox in Milwaukee
Three games into the post-Giannis era, the Milwaukee Bucks are 0-3 and the most interesting thing about them is a player who wasn't supposed to be the headliner.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. is averaging 20.7 points, 8.7 rebounds and 3.7 assists on 61.4% shooting through three games, including a 22-point opener in Washington, a 19-point/11-rebound double-double in the home loss to Chicago, and 21 points on 7-of-13 in Philadelphia. He's playing 31 minutes a night, and he's been the single most efficient thing on the roster.
That's the paradox of Milwaukee's first week: the pieces look good, the team does not.
The Giannis Return Is Producing
The Bucks' 0-3 start would be a lot bleaker without the players who arrived in the Miami deal. Tyler Herro leads the team at 23.7 points and 5.3 assists per game, including a 34-point outburst against the Bulls. Kel'el Ware, the player Brew Hoop's game grades said "finally comes to the party" in Philadelphia, is giving 12.3 points and 6.7 rebounds in 19.3 minutes off the bench.
That's real production from a group that was widely framed as a future-picks package. The trade exception and the two distant first-rounders remain the long game, but the immediate return has been better than a rebuild usually gets.
The Problem Is on the Other End
Milwaukee is scoring 119.0 points per game. That is a functional offense โ it would have won plenty of games a year ago. The issue is 129.0 points allowed and a -10.0 point differential, the worst mark on the early board.
Look at the three losses individually and the pattern is uglier than the aggregate: 128-116 at Washington, 132-125 at home to Chicago in a game the Bucks were supposed to win, then 127-116 at Philadelphia on the second night of a back-to-back. That's three different opponents, three different styles, and the same result.
The personnel story inside the numbers makes it more complicated. Myles Turner is averaging 7.7 points on 27.3 minutes and went scoreless on 0-of-4 in Philadelphia. Kyle Kuzma is at 11.0 points and managed five points on 2-of-9 in the opener. Ryan Rollins' early-season struggles have been flagged as a persistent theme. This isn't one broken piece โ it's a starting five that hasn't found its spacing or its defensive assignments.
Jenkins Is Still Auditioning Lineups
Taylor Jenkins is a first-year coach with a roster that turned over almost entirely, and he's behaving accordingly. He kept everyone guessing on his starting five until opening night. He's already pulled Ousmane Dieng from the rotation. He's been criticized locally for not giving rookie Nate Ament more run at power forward, where the Bucks are thin.
Some of that is development, some of it is a coach searching. Either way, the defensive communication problems that show up in a 129.0 opponent scoring average are the kind that take weeks, not days, to fix โ and the schedule isn't cooperating. Indiana comes to Fiserv Forum next, then Houston and Cleveland at home, then a road trip through Minnesota and Boston.
What It Means
The honest read on Milwaukee's first week is that the rebuild's individual bets are landing while the collective product lags. Jaquez, Herro and Ware are all ahead of schedule. The defense is behind it by a wide margin, and the veterans around them โ Turner and Kuzma specifically โ haven't provided the stabilizing minutes a young roster needs.
For a team that went 32-50 a season ago and graded out at roughly -10 points versus an average team in the preseason power ratings, a slow start was always the likeliest outcome. What matters more is whether the Jaquez breakout is real and whether the defensive scheme settles before the schedule stiffens.
Three games is a sample, not a verdict. But the Bucks have already shown the shape of their season: they will score, they will not get stops, and the most compelling reason to watch is a 25-year-old forward who is quietly making the biggest trade in franchise history look better by the night.
