Grizzlies Beat Jazz 110-105: Utah's Late Push Falls Short

The Memphis Grizzlies beat the Utah Jazz 110-105 on Monday night at Delta Center, a five-point road win in a game that never reached the scoring pace the market expected. The two teams combined for 215 points, well below the total, and the Grizzlies left with the outright victory as a slim road underdog.

Memphis controlled the result from the side we didn't expect. Our premium pick was Utah -1.5 and the Utah moneyline, built on the idea that the Jazz would finally put together a complete home performance. That missed. Utah lost outright, so both the spread and the moneyline went against us. Our model had projected a 118.2-116.5 Utah win — a 234.7 combined total that pointed toward a higher-scoring game than what actually unfolded. The actual score fell short of that projection on both sides.

The takeaway is straightforward: we trusted Utah's home setting and slim favorite status over what the early-season profile was telling us. The Jazz entered with a scoring-versus-defense gap that suggested they could put up points but struggled to get stops, and we leaned on the side anyway. The result reinforces that fading Utah against the spread has been the sharper angle, and that Memphis's rebuilt, defensive-minded identity deserves more respect than the number gave it. We'll weigh situational form more heavily than home-court assumptions going forward.