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Earl's NBA power ranking · Week 1, 2026

Denver ranks 18th at just 0.937 points better than an average team on a neutral field, a steep drop from last season's 4.0 prior rating. The 1-2 record against a soft 0.801 strength of schedule makes that decline hard to dismiss, and the market's -3.85 vs_market gap says the public is still pricing this team on last year's name. That's a clear sell: lay the points against Denver until the rating recovers, and treat any spread near a field goal as too generous to this offense.