2.71

2.71

Earl's NBA power ranking ยท Week 25, 2025

#19
rank
-1.4
rating (points, neutral field)
37-45
record (2024)
-2.2
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Miami sits at 19th with a -1.429 neutral-field rating, meaning they'd be roughly a 1.5-point underdog to an average team, and that number has cratered 2.505 points in the past week. The -2.21 vs-market gap says the public has been overvaluing this team all season, so I'm selling Miami hard, especially with Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, and Norman Powell all inactive and a 2.71-point injury dock already baked in. This is a fade-or-pass roster right now, not a buy-low.

Unavailable this week(-2.7 pts of rating)

  • Davion Mitchell ยท G ยท Inactive-1.5
  • Pelle Larsson ยท G ยท Inactive-1.3
  • Norman Powell ยท G ยท Inactive-1.2
  • Tyler Herro ยท G ยท Inactive-0.5

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2024 season

3.2 pts-3.4 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs Mktฮ”
20241#142-1-0.4โ€”-2.4โ€”
20242#143-3+0.3โ€”-1.9+0.7
20243#184-5-0.5โ€”-2.1-0.8
20244#156-7-0.1โ€”-0.8+0.4
20245#157-7+0.4โ€”-0.6+0.6
20246#159-10-0.2โ€”-1.6-0.7
20247#1112-10+3.2โ€”+1.3+3.4
20248#1113-11+3.1โ€”+1.0-0.1
20249#1214-13+3.1โ€”+0.9+0.0
202410#1116-14+2.6โ€”+1.0-0.4
202411#1717-17-0.6โ€”-2.1-3.3
202412#1420-18+0.7โ€”-0.0+1.4
202413#1421-20+0.3โ€”-0.1-0.4
202414#1623-22-1.1โ€”-1.3-1.3
202415#1724-23-1.3โ€”-1.7-0.2
202416#2025-26-2.5โ€”-2.9-1.2
202417#2025-28-2.4โ€”-2.8+0.2
202418#1926-30-2.3โ€”-2.5+0.1
202419#1829-31-1.2โ€”-0.9+1.1
202420#1729-35-1.5โ€”-1.0-0.3
202421#2129-39-3.4โ€”-2.9-1.8
202422#2330-41-2.9โ€”-2.2+0.5
202423#1634-41-0.3โ€”+0.3+2.6
202424#1536-43+0.6โ€”+1.0+0.8
202425#1537-45+1.2โ€”+1.3+0.6