1.7
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
#11
rank
+0.8
rating (points, neutral field)
5-12
record (2022)
-1.5
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Denver sits at 11th with a 0.822 neutral-field rating, but that number is cratering, down 3.009 points week-over-week, and the -1.46 vs-market gap says the public is still pricing them closer to their 3.037 prior-season rating than their current form. The last five games tell the story: 19.4 points scored against 22.2 allowed, a -0.072 EPA per play, and a -2.8 point differential, all while missing both starting corners in Riley Moss and Patrick Surtain. That 1.7-point injury dock is only part of the problem, so I'm selling Denver hard and grabbing any opponent laying a short number, because this rating has further to fall.
Unavailable this week(-1.7 pts of rating)
- Riley Moss · CB · Out-0.7
- Patrick Surtain · CB · Out-0.6
- Pat Bryant · WR · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.4
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2022 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | #17 | 0-1 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -6.0 | — |
| 2022 | 2 | #15 | 1-1 | -1.4 | -0.7 | -9.3 | -1.1 |
| 2022 | 3 | #15 | 2-1 | -1.8 | -1.5 | -5.7 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 4 | #16 | 2-2 | -3.5 | -1.2 | -5.0 | -1.7 |
| 2022 | 5 | #22 | 2-3 | -5.3 | -3.0 | -6.0 | -1.9 |
| 2022 | 6 | #22 | 2-4 | -4.9 | -2.3 | -5.2 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 7 | #27 | 2-5 | -7.1 | -3.3 | -4.2 | -2.2 |
| 2022 | 8 | #20 | 3-5 | -4.2 | -1.0 | -1.3 | +2.9 |
| 2022 | 9 | #16 | 3-5 | -2.9 | — | +0.1 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 10 | #20 | 3-6 | -4.4 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.5 |
| 2022 | 11 | #29 | 3-7 | -7.6 | -3.5 | -4.9 | -3.2 |
| 2022 | 12 | #29 | 3-8 | -8.1 | -2.6 | -5.2 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 13 | #30 | 3-9 | -7.3 | -2.3 | -4.0 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 14 | #29 | 3-10 | -7.1 | -2.9 | -3.1 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 15 | #31 | 4-10 | -13.9 | -10.4 | -8.7 | -6.8 |
| 2022 | 16 | #27 | 4-11 | -9.0 | -1.7 | -4.2 | +4.9 |
| 2022 | 17 | #27 | 4-12 | -8.6 | -2.7 | -3.0 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 18 | #26 | 5-12 | -7.0 | -2.2 | -2.3 | +1.6 |