2.9

2.9

Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026

#19
rank
-4.3
rating (points, neutral field)
4-12-1
record (2022)
-1.0
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Indianapolis sits at 19th with a -4.345 neutral-field rating, meaning they'd be roughly 4.3-point underdogs to an average team, and that number has cratered 3.935 points in a single week. The last five games tell the story: 24.8 points scored against 27.6 allowed, a -0.111 EPA differential, and a -2.8 point margin, all while missing DeForest Buckner and Arden Key up front. At 2-3 with a -1.01 vs-market mark, this is a clear sell — the market is still pricing them closer to average than their underlying numbers justify.

Unavailable this week(-2.9 pts of rating)

  • DeForest Buckner · DT · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.6
  • Keenan Allen · WR · Questionable-0.5
  • Arden Key · DE · Out-0.4
  • Ashton Dulin · WR · Out-0.4
  • Jaylon Carlies · LB · Out-0.4
  • Charvarius Ward · CB · Questionable-0.3
  • Darius Slayton · WR · Questionable-0.3

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2022 season

1.3 pts-14.7 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs MktΔ
20221#130-0-1+1.3-1.0-5.7—
20222#280-1-1-6.6-3.0-12.6-7.8
20223#161-1-1-2.2-1.2-2.2+4.3
20224#211-2-1-4.1-0.9-4.3-1.9
20225#232-2-1-5.4-3.0-4.6-1.3
20226#203-2-1-3.5-2.3-2.3+1.9
20227#203-3-1-4.4-2.0-1.9-0.9
20228#323-4-1-12.0-8.3-9.4-7.6
20229#323-5-1-14.7-9.3-11.1-2.7
202210#274-5-1-6.0-2.2-2.6+8.7
202211#214-6-1-4.6-1.8-0.8+1.4
202212#264-7-1-6.0-2.0-2.3-1.4
202213#314-8-1-7.9-1.4-3.1-1.9
202214#284-8-1-6.4—-1.8+1.5
202215#284-9-1-6.9-1.3-1.4-0.5
202216#294-10-1-9.8-2.1-3.6-2.9
202217#314-11-1-12.8-2.5-5.7-3.0
202218#304-12-1-12.9-2.4-4.8-0.1