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Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026

rank

+10.5

rating (points, neutral field)

9-8

record (2022)

+7.7

vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

Jacksonville sits at No. 1 with a 10.46 neutral-field rating, and their last five games back it up: 24.6 points scored against just 14.0 allowed, a plus-10.6 point differential, and a 0.249 EPA edge per play. That rating is 7.66 points clear of the market, so the books are still pricing the Jaguars like a good-but-not-elite team while my number says they're the real thing — that's a buy, though the 2.88-point drop this week and a defense missing Eric Murray (doubtful) with Josh Hines-Allen and Jourdan Lewis limited in practice are worth watching before you lay the wood.

Unavailable this week(-1.0 pts of rating)

Eric Murray · S · Doubtful-0.2
Jourdan Lewis · CB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
Joshua Hines-Allen · DE · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
Jarrian Jones · CB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
DaVon Hamilton · DT · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
Montaric Brown · CB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1

Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.

Rating over the 2022 season

Week by week

Season	Wk	Rank	Rec	Rating	Inj	vs Mkt	Δ
2022	1	#31	0-1	-10.8	-0.2	-5.5	—
2022	2	#23	1-1	-4.5	—	-0.6	+6.4
2022	3	#6	2-1	+3.2	-0.2	+10.6	+7.6
2022	4	#6	2-2	+3.2	-0.6	+9.9	+0.0
2022	5	#10	2-3	-0.3	-0.9	+4.9	-3.5
2022	6	#14	2-4	-1.4	-1.5	+3.1	-1.2
2022	7	#19	2-5	-4.0	-2.2	+1.1	-2.6
2022	8	#21	2-6	-4.4	-1.0	-0.0	-0.4
2022	9	#17	3-6	-3.0	-0.1	+1.8	+1.4
2022	10	#17	3-7	-3.0	-0.3	+1.5	-0.0
2022	11	#17	3-7	-2.8	—	+2.0	+0.2
2022	12	#15	4-7	-1.9	—	+2.5	+0.8
2022	13	#29	4-8	-7.0	-1.8	-2.0	-5.1
2022	14	#25	5-8	-5.5	-3.1	-0.3	+1.4
2022	15	#18	6-8	-3.2	-3.0	+3.1	+2.3
2022	16	#18	7-8	-2.5	-3.9	+3.8	+0.7
2022	17	#8	8-8	+0.8	-2.7	+7.2	+3.3
2022	18	#11	9-8	-0.4	-3.0	+5.4	-1.1