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Earl's NFL power ranking ยท Week 5, 2026
#5
rank
+4.1
rating (points, neutral field)
14-3
record (2022)
-1.0
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Kansas City sits at No. 5 with a 4.136 neutral-field rating, but that number dropped 0.887 from last week and the market is pricing them about a point better than my model (-0.98 vs. market), so I'm selling KC at current spreads. The 4-0 record is buoyed by a soft schedule (-2.597) and a prior-season rating of -2.919, yet the underlying numbers are legit: 29.5 points per game and a +0.2305 EPA differential over the last five. With zero injury points docked, this is a healthy roster whose rating still trails the elite tier, so lay off the inflated lines.
Rating over the 2022 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | ฮ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | #1 | 1-0 | +11.6 | -0.0 | +5.9 | โ |
| 2022 | 2 | #2 | 2-0 | +11.0 | -0.1 | +6.3 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 3 | #3 | 2-1 | +6.4 | -0.2 | -0.0 | -4.6 |
| 2022 | 4 | #2 | 3-1 | +8.3 | -0.7 | +3.0 | +1.9 |
| 2022 | 5 | #2 | 4-1 | +6.2 | -0.8 | +1.3 | -2.1 |
| 2022 | 6 | #3 | 4-2 | +5.8 | -1.4 | +0.1 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 7 | #2 | 5-2 | +8.8 | -0.7 | +2.8 | +3.1 |
| 2022 | 8 | #2 | 5-2 | +8.9 | โ | +3.9 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 9 | #4 | 6-2 | +6.8 | -0.1 | +0.1 | -2.1 |
| 2022 | 10 | #5 | 7-2 | +4.5 | -2.0 | -1.9 | -2.3 |
| 2022 | 11 | #6 | 8-2 | +3.3 | -3.0 | -3.6 | -1.2 |
| 2022 | 12 | #3 | 9-2 | +5.5 | -1.1 | -3.1 | +2.2 |
| 2022 | 13 | #3 | 9-3 | +5.4 | -0.4 | -4.3 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 14 | #4 | 10-3 | +5.7 | -0.1 | -3.3 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 15 | #4 | 11-3 | +4.9 | -0.6 | -3.8 | -0.8 |
| 2022 | 16 | #3 | 12-3 | +5.7 | -0.9 | -2.2 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 17 | #4 | 13-3 | +5.5 | โ | -3.7 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 18 | #3 | 14-3 | +5.8 | -1.4 | -4.7 | +0.3 |