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Earl's NFL power ranking ยท Week 5, 2026

#4
rank
+4.4
rating (points, neutral field)
5-12
record (2022)
-1.9
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)

The Rams sit at No. 4 with a 4.426 neutral-field rating, but that number dropped 1.294 points in a week and they're just 2-3 with a -0.2 point differential over their last five. At 4.426 they'd be roughly a 4.5-point favorite on a neutral field, yet the market has them 1.87 points worse than that rating implies, so this is a buy-low window on a team whose underlying -0.12 EPA... actually +0.1212 EPA per play is far better than the 24 points per game they've allowed. With no key players docked and a manageable 2.447 strength of schedule, lay the points before the market catches up.

Rating over the 2022 season

2.5 pts-6.3 pts

Week by week

SeasonWkRankRecRatingInjvs Mktฮ”
20221#70-1+2.5โ€”+5.3โ€”
20222#121-1+0.3โ€”-2.1-2.3
20223#102-1+1.5โ€”-1.4+1.3
20224#132-2-0.4โ€”-3.2-1.9
20225#142-3-1.2โ€”-3.0-0.8
20226#153-3-1.5โ€”-5.5-0.2
20227#133-3-0.6โ€”-4.5+0.9
20228#153-4-2.9โ€”-5.7-2.3
20229#213-5-3.8โ€”-7.2-0.8
202210#253-6-5.8โ€”-8.8-2.1
202211#273-7-5.6โ€”-7.3+0.2
202212#253-8-6.0โ€”-5.4-0.3
202213#253-9-5.6โ€”-3.3+0.4
202214#244-9-5.5โ€”-1.4+0.0
202215#254-10-6.3โ€”-0.6-0.8
202216#115-10-1.2โ€”+5.4+5.1
202217#165-11-2.4โ€”+4.8-1.2
202218#195-12-2.3โ€”+5.8+0.1