2.1
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
#21
rank
-5.9
rating (points, neutral field)
6-11
record (2022)
+3.1
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Las Vegas sits at 21st with a -5.94 neutral-field rating, but the market has been pricing them 3.12 points better than that, so the books clearly aren't buying this number as a true reflection of the roster. The problem is the trajectory: a -5.26 rating drop in one week is massive, and the underlying profile is shaky with a -0.015 EPA differential and 25.8 points allowed over the last five despite a 3-2 record. With Jalen Nailor and Dont'e Thornton out and Ashton Jeanty questionable, I'm selling the Raiders at any spread that assumes they're a near-average team.
Unavailable this week(-2.1 pts of rating)
- Jalen Nailor · WR · Out-0.8
- Ashton Jeanty · RB · Questionable-0.8
- Dont'e Thornton · WR · Out-0.5
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2022 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | #22 | 0-1 | -2.8 | — | +3.7 | — |
| 2022 | 2 | #20 | 0-2 | -3.8 | -0.3 | -2.8 | -1.0 |
| 2022 | 3 | #28 | 0-3 | -7.6 | -2.0 | -7.5 | -3.9 |
| 2022 | 4 | #19 | 1-3 | -3.9 | -1.3 | -4.8 | +3.7 |
| 2022 | 5 | #12 | 1-4 | -1.0 | -0.6 | +0.0 | +3.0 |
| 2022 | 6 | #13 | 1-4 | -0.5 | — | +0.2 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 7 | #12 | 2-4 | -0.3 | -2.0 | +1.1 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 8 | #24 | 2-5 | -4.8 | -2.0 | -3.9 | -4.5 |
| 2022 | 9 | #23 | 2-6 | -4.8 | -0.8 | -4.3 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 10 | #23 | 2-7 | -5.8 | -0.5 | -5.4 | -1.0 |
| 2022 | 11 | #24 | 3-7 | -5.1 | -0.9 | -4.0 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 12 | #18 | 4-7 | -3.4 | -0.5 | -1.5 | +1.6 |
| 2022 | 13 | #19 | 5-7 | -4.1 | -1.2 | -2.8 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 14 | #23 | 5-8 | -5.3 | -2.6 | -4.7 | -1.3 |
| 2022 | 15 | #15 | 6-8 | -2.9 | -1.7 | -1.4 | +2.4 |
| 2022 | 16 | #15 | 6-9 | -1.9 | -0.9 | +0.7 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 17 | #20 | 6-10 | -3.5 | -3.6 | +0.3 | -1.6 |
| 2022 | 18 | #17 | 6-11 | -2.2 | -0.9 | +2.0 | +1.3 |