8.5
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
Washington sits dead last at 32 with a -15.806 neutral-field rating, and that number already bakes in an 8.5-point injury dock for Mariota, Diggs, and a questionable McLaurin, so the roster on the field is even thinner than the rating implies. The last-five profile is ugly on both sides: 23.0 points scored against 29.8 allowed, a -0.0568 EPA per play, and a -6.8 point differential, which is exactly what you'd expect from a 1-3 team. The market is giving them -5.5 versus their rating, meaning books are pricing Washington about five and a half points better than this model does, so I'm selling them hard and looking to fade any spread that asks them to stay within a touchdown.
Unavailable this week(-8.5 pts of rating)
- Marcus Mariota · QB · Out-4.7
- Stefon Diggs · WR · Out-2.0
- Terry McLaurin · WR · Questionable-0.5
- Jeremy McNichols · RB · Questionable-0.2
- Charles Omenihu · DE · Out-0.2
- Nicolas Cross · S · Out-0.2
- Percy Butler · S · Out-0.2
- Deatrich Wise · DE · Questionable-0.1
- K'Lavon Chaisson · LB · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.1
- Rachaad White · RB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
- Tyler Owens · S · Out-0.1
- Trenayvian Amos · CB · Questionable-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2022 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | #25 | 1-0 | -5.3 | -1.3 | -8.7 | — |
| 2022 | 2 | #26 | 1-1 | -5.2 | -0.6 | -4.9 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 3 | #23 | 1-2 | -4.7 | -0.4 | +0.3 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 4 | #22 | 1-3 | -5.1 | — | +0.3 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 5 | #29 | 1-4 | -8.2 | -1.6 | -2.3 | -3.1 |
| 2022 | 6 | #28 | 2-4 | -8.0 | -2.9 | -2.5 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 7 | #32 | 3-4 | -13.8 | -9.9 | -8.2 | -5.8 |
| 2022 | 8 | #27 | 4-4 | -6.6 | -3.3 | -1.3 | +7.2 |
| 2022 | 9 | #27 | 4-5 | -5.9 | -2.6 | -0.8 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 10 | #13 | 5-5 | -1.2 | -1.7 | +3.9 | +4.7 |
| 2022 | 11 | #14 | 6-5 | -1.0 | -1.8 | +4.4 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 12 | #17 | 7-5 | -2.1 | -2.8 | +2.8 | -1.2 |
| 2022 | 13 | #13 | 7-5-1 | -0.6 | -1.4 | +4.2 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 14 | #9 | 7-5-1 | +0.7 | — | +5.7 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 15 | #12 | 7-6-1 | -1.8 | -1.0 | +4.0 | -2.6 |
| 2022 | 16 | #17 | 7-7-1 | -2.4 | -0.7 | +3.2 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 17 | #24 | 7-8-1 | -6.2 | -2.4 | -1.5 | -3.8 |
| 2022 | 18 | #24 | 8-8-1 | -5.6 | -5.1 | -0.2 | +0.5 |