5.5
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
Cleveland sits at 26th with a neutral-field rating of -8.33, and that number is cratering, down 6.27 points from last week after a 3-2 start that was always better than the underlying profile. The offense is managing just 18.6 points per game over its last five while the defense allows 22.4, and the rating already bakes in a 5.5-point dock for the absences of quarterback Dillon Gabriel and defensive tackles Mason Graham and Kalia Davis, so this is not a spot to buy low. At -8.33, the Browns grade out as roughly a touchdown-plus underdog to an average team on a neutral field, and with a 3.72 vs-market mark suggesting they have been slightly overvalued, I am selling Cleveland until the rating stabilizes.
Unavailable this week(-5.5 pts of rating)
- Dillon Gabriel · QB · Out-3.1
- Mason Graham · DT · Out-1.1
- Kalia Davis · DT · Out-0.9
- Michael Hall · DT · Out-0.3
- Tylan Wallace · WR · Out-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #26 | 0-1 | -6.7 | -0.1 | +5.1 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #27 | 1-1 | -7.3 | -0.5 | +5.2 | -0.7 |
| 2026 | 3 | #20 | 2-1 | -3.5 | -0.4 | +9.2 | +3.8 |
| 2026 | 4 | #19 | 3-1 | -2.1 | -0.1 | +10.9 | +1.5 |
| 2026 | 5 | #26 | 3-2 | -8.3 | -5.5 | +3.7 | -6.3 |