1.7
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
#11
rank
+0.8
rating (points, neutral field)
3-2
record (2026)
-1.5
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Denver sits at 11th with a 0.822 neutral-field rating, but that number is cratering, down 3.009 points week-over-week, and the -1.46 vs-market gap says the public is still pricing them closer to their 3.037 prior-season rating than their current form. The last five games tell the story: 19.4 points scored against 22.2 allowed, a -0.072 EPA per play, and a -2.8 point differential, all while missing both starting corners in Riley Moss and Patrick Surtain. That 1.7-point injury dock is only part of the problem, so I'm selling Denver hard and grabbing any opponent laying a short number, because this rating has further to fall.
Unavailable this week(-1.7 pts of rating)
- Riley Moss · CB · Out-0.7
- Patrick Surtain · CB · Out-0.6
- Pat Bryant · WR · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.4
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #14 | 0-1 | -0.3 | — | +0.5 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #11 | 1-1 | +0.9 | -1.0 | +1.0 | +1.3 |
| 2026 | 3 | #7 | 2-1 | +4.3 | -0.7 | +4.9 | +3.4 |
| 2026 | 4 | #6 | 2-2 | +3.8 | -0.2 | +3.4 | -0.5 |
| 2026 | 5 | #11 | 3-2 | +0.8 | -1.7 | -1.5 | -3.0 |