2.9
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
#19
rank
-4.3
rating (points, neutral field)
2-3
record (2026)
-1.0
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Indianapolis sits at 19th with a -4.345 neutral-field rating, meaning they'd be roughly 4.3-point underdogs to an average team, and that number has cratered 3.935 points in a single week. The last five games tell the story: 24.8 points scored against 27.6 allowed, a -0.111 EPA differential, and a -2.8 point margin, all while missing DeForest Buckner and Arden Key up front. At 2-3 with a -1.01 vs-market mark, this is a clear sell — the market is still pricing them closer to average than their underlying numbers justify.
Unavailable this week(-2.9 pts of rating)
- DeForest Buckner · DT · Did Not Participate In Practice-0.6
- Keenan Allen · WR · Questionable-0.5
- Arden Key · DE · Out-0.4
- Ashton Dulin · WR · Out-0.4
- Jaylon Carlies · LB · Out-0.4
- Charvarius Ward · CB · Questionable-0.3
- Darius Slayton · WR · Questionable-0.3
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #16 | 0-1 | -1.3 | -0.8 | +9.9 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #19 | 0-2 | -2.6 | -0.8 | +7.0 | -1.3 |
| 2026 | 3 | #18 | 1-2 | -3.1 | -1.7 | +3.2 | -0.5 |
| 2026 | 4 | #14 | 2-2 | -0.4 | -0.8 | +2.1 | +2.7 |
| 2026 | 5 | #19 | 2-3 | -4.3 | -2.9 | -1.0 | -3.9 |