1
Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026
#1
rank
+10.5
rating (points, neutral field)
4-1
record (2026)
+7.7
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Jacksonville sits at No. 1 with a 10.46 neutral-field rating, and their last five games back it up: 24.6 points scored against just 14.0 allowed, a plus-10.6 point differential, and a 0.249 EPA edge per play. That rating is 7.66 points clear of the market, so the books are still pricing the Jaguars like a good-but-not-elite team while my number says they're the real thing — that's a buy, though the 2.88-point drop this week and a defense missing Eric Murray (doubtful) with Josh Hines-Allen and Jourdan Lewis limited in practice are worth watching before you lay the wood.
Unavailable this week(-1.0 pts of rating)
- Eric Murray · S · Doubtful-0.2
- Jourdan Lewis · CB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
- Joshua Hines-Allen · DE · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
- Jarrian Jones · CB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.2
- DaVon Hamilton · DT · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
- Montaric Brown · CB · Limited Participation in Practice-0.1
Points are how much Earl docks a team's rating for each unavailable player.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #2 | 1-0 | +11.6 | -0.1 | +1.8 | — |
| 2026 | 2 | #4 | 1-1 | +8.3 | -0.2 | +5.1 | -3.3 |
| 2026 | 3 | #1 | 2-1 | +14.6 | -0.3 | +13.6 | +6.3 |
| 2026 | 4 | #1 | 3-1 | +13.3 | -0.3 | +13.3 | -1.3 |
| 2026 | 5 | #1 | 4-1 | +10.5 | -1.0 | +7.7 | -2.9 |