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Earl's NFL power ranking ยท Week 5, 2026
#5
rank
+4.1
rating (points, neutral field)
4-0
record (2026)
-1.0
vs market (Earl \u2212 line)
Kansas City sits at No. 5 with a 4.136 neutral-field rating, but that number dropped 0.887 from last week and the market is pricing them about a point better than my model (-0.98 vs. market), so I'm selling KC at current spreads. The 4-0 record is buoyed by a soft schedule (-2.597) and a prior-season rating of -2.919, yet the underlying numbers are legit: 29.5 points per game and a +0.2305 EPA differential over the last five. With zero injury points docked, this is a healthy roster whose rating still trails the elite tier, so lay off the inflated lines.
Rating over the 2026 season
Week by week
| Season | Wk | Rank | Rec | Rating | Inj | vs Mkt | ฮ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | #15 | 1-0 | -0.5 | -1.3 | +0.7 | โ |
| 2026 | 2 | #9 | 2-0 | +2.1 | -1.3 | +1.0 | +2.6 |
| 2026 | 3 | #8 | 3-0 | +3.7 | -0.8 | -2.4 | +1.6 |
| 2026 | 4 | #4 | 4-0 | +5.0 | โ | -0.8 | +1.3 |
| 2026 | 5 | #5 | 4-0 | +4.1 | โ | -1.0 | -0.9 |