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Earl's NFL power ranking · Week 5, 2026

The Rams sit at No. 4 with a 4.426 neutral-field rating, but that number dropped 1.294 points in a week and they're just 2-3 with a -0.2 point differential over their last five. At 4.426 they'd be roughly a 4.5-point favorite on a neutral field, yet the market has them 1.87 points worse than that rating implies, so this is a buy-low window on a team whose underlying -0.12 EPA... actually +0.1212 EPA per play is far better than the 24 points per game they've allowed. With no key players docked and a manageable 2.447 strength of schedule, lay the points before the market catches up.